Skip to main content

Election Forecasting predictions & odds

·
Peru Presidential Election Winner

Peru Presidential Election Winner

61%

Keiko Fujimori

$64M Vol.

$1M today

$4M Liq.

5,896

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

26%

Jordan Bardella

$92M Vol.

$869K today

$8M Liq.

542

Ends in 11 months

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

16%

JD Vance

$618M Vol.

$764K today

$36M Liq.

952

Ends in over 2 years

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

42%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$96M Vol.

$616K today

$9M Liq.

9,909

Ends in 4 months

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

61%

Karen Bass

$8M Vol.

$401K today

$1M Liq.

87

California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

85%

Xavier Becerra

$34M Vol.

$325K today

$7M Liq.

81

Ends in 5 months

 Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

100%

Abelardo de la Espriella

$10M Vol.

$202K today

$612K Liq.

262

LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?

LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?

95%

Bass & Raman

$971K Vol.

$191K today

$267K Liq.

46

Makerfield by-election Winner

Makerfield by-election Winner

84%

Andy Burnham

$2M Vol.

$85.8K today

$681K Liq.

38

Ends in 12 days

Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

83%

Abelardo de la Espriella

$36M Vol.

$66.9K today

$4M Liq.

714

Ends in 15 days

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

54%

United Russia (ER)

$10M Vol.

$66.7K today

$701K Liq.

209

Ends in 4 months

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

95%

Nithya Raman

$209K Vol.

$213K Liq.

6

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?

45%

Fujimori 0–4%

$291K Vol.

$269K Liq.

Ends in about 18 hours

Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner

Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner

96%

Civil Contract

$557K Vol.

$365K Liq.

18

Ends in about 18 hours

LA Mayoral Election: 1st Round Margin of Victory?

LA Mayoral Election: 1st Round Margin of Victory?

86%

Bass 5–10%

$129K Vol.

$83.5K Liq.

1

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?

99%

Karen Bass

$688K Vol.

$222K Liq.

2

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

99%

Xavier Becerra

$822K Vol.

$369K Liq.

5

Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner

Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner

52%

Loranne Ausley

$61.9K Vol.

$87.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?

Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?

2%

$153K Vol.

$57.4K Liq.

36

Ends in 24 days

Casalnuovo Di Napoli Mayoral Election Winner

Casalnuovo Di Napoli Mayoral Election Winner

81%

Nicoletta Romano

$18.2K Vol.

$20.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Election Forecasting.

Polymarket currently hosts 1558 active markets for Election Forecasting that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Peru Presidential Election Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $974.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 16% chance to JD Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Election Forecasting predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.