**Consistent forecast models place Wuhan's minimum temperature for August 24, 2026, near 27–28°C, aligning with the market's leading 28°C outcome (44% implied probability).** Multiple sources, including Yr.no, PredictWind, and Luft Time, project a daily low of 27–28°C under partly cloudy to mostly clear conditions with northeast winds of 4–8 mph and high humidity (65–85%). This limits nocturnal radiative cooling in Wuhan's subtropical climate during peak summer. Persistent heat and moisture from a regional pattern, including recent high-temperature warnings from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory, support overnight lows remaining elevated rather than dropping toward historical August averages near 25–26°C. Scattered showers or thunderstorms (30–50% chance) may further suppress cooling by maintaining cloud cover and humidity. Higher outcomes (32°C+) carry meaningful probability (28.5%) if daytime heat lingers strongly into the night, while lower thresholds (≤26°C) remain less favored given the current stable warm-air mass. Updated model runs closer to resolution will likely refine these ranges as steering patterns and local conditions evolve.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 24?
32°C or higher 57%
28°C 34%
27°C 28%
25°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
23%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
34%
29°C
27%
30°C
10%
31°C
25%
32°C or higher
57%
32°C or higher 57%
28°C 34%
27°C 28%
25°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
$35 Wol.
1%
23°C
$70 Wol.
8%
24°C
$55 Wol.
23%
25°C
$0 Wol.
27%
26°C
$0 Wol.
27%
27°C
$0 Wol.
28%
28°C
$0 Wol.
34%
29°C
$0 Wol.
27%
30°C
$5 Wol.
10%
31°C
$125 Wol.
25%
32°C or higher
$145 Wol.
57%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consistent forecast models place Wuhan's minimum temperature for August 24, 2026, near 27–28°C, aligning with the market's leading 28°C outcome (44% implied probability).** Multiple sources, including Yr.no, PredictWind, and Luft Time, project a daily low of 27–28°C under partly cloudy to mostly clear conditions with northeast winds of 4–8 mph and high humidity (65–85%). This limits nocturnal radiative cooling in Wuhan's subtropical climate during peak summer.
Persistent heat and moisture from a regional pattern, including recent high-temperature warnings from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory, support overnight lows remaining elevated rather than dropping toward historical August averages near 25–26°C. Scattered showers or thunderstorms (30–50% chance) may further suppress cooling by maintaining cloud cover and humidity. Higher outcomes (32°C+) carry meaningful probability (28.5%) if daytime heat lingers strongly into the night, while lower thresholds (≤26°C) remain less favored given the current stable warm-air mass. Updated model runs closer to resolution will likely refine these ranges as steering patterns and local conditions evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$435Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consistent forecast models place Wuhan's minimum temperature for August 24, 2026, near 27–28°C, aligning with the market's leading 28°C outcome (44% implied probability).** Multiple sources, including Yr.no, PredictWind, and Luft Time, project a daily low of 27–28°C under partly cloudy to mostly clear conditions with northeast winds of 4–8 mph and high humidity (65–85%). This limits nocturnal radiative cooling in Wuhan's subtropical climate during peak summer.
Persistent heat and moisture from a regional pattern, including recent high-temperature warnings from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory, support overnight lows remaining elevated rather than dropping toward historical August averages near 25–26°C. Scattered showers or thunderstorms (30–50% chance) may further suppress cooling by maintaining cloud cover and humidity. Higher outcomes (32°C+) carry meaningful probability (28.5%) if daytime heat lingers strongly into the night, while lower thresholds (≤26°C) remain less favored given the current stable warm-air mass. Updated model runs closer to resolution will likely refine these ranges as steering patterns and local conditions evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$435Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Consistent forecast models place Wuhan's minimum temperature for August 24, 2026, near 27–28°C, aligning with the market's leading 28°C outcome (44% implied probability).** Multiple sources, including Yr.no, PredictWind, and Luft Time, project a daily low of 27–28°C under partly cloudy to mostly clear conditions with northeast winds of 4–8 mph and high humidity (65–85%). This limits nocturnal radiative cooling in Wuhan's subtropical climate during peak summer. Persistent heat and moisture from a regional pattern, including recent high-temperature warnings from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory, support overnight lows remaining elevated rather than dropping toward historical August averages near 25–26°C. Scattered showers or thunderstorms (30–50% chance) may further suppress cooling by maintaining cloud cover and humidity. Higher outcomes (32°C+) carry meaningful probability (28.5%) if daytime heat lingers strongly into the night, while lower thresholds (≤26°C) remain less favored given the current stable warm-air mass. Updated model runs closer to resolution will likely refine these ranges as steering patterns and local conditions evolve.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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