**Official observations from LaGuardia Airport recorded a minimum of 70°F on August 22, 2026, anchoring the strong 93% market consensus on the 70-71°F bin.** Mostly cloudy skies overnight limited radiative cooling, while moderate humidity and light northeast winds kept temperatures from falling further below seasonal norms near 68°F. NWS and model data showed limited overnight cooling potential under this stable air mass, with ensemble runs converging on lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. This aligns with the market-implied odds reflecting real-capital trader assessment of verified station data. A late revision in final NWS verification or a shift to a different official reporting station could theoretically alter the outcome, though current reports make such scenarios highly improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on August 22?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 22?
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$11,647 Wol.
$11,647 Wol.
Aug 22, 2026
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$11,647 Wol.
$11,647 Wol.
Aug 22, 2026
59°F or below
$214 Wol.
No
60-61°F
$539 Wol.
No
62-63°F
$562 Wol.
No
64-65°F
$1,225 Wol.
No
66-67°F
$1,085 Wol.
No
68-69°F
$2,372 Wol.
No
70-71°F
$3,845 Wol.
Yes
72-73°F
$1,001 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$446 Wol.
No
76-77°F
$184 Wol.
No
78°F or higher
$174 Wol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from LaGuardia Airport recorded a minimum of 70°F on August 22, 2026, anchoring the strong 93% market consensus on the 70-71°F bin.** Mostly cloudy skies overnight limited radiative cooling, while moderate humidity and light northeast winds kept temperatures from falling further below seasonal norms near 68°F. NWS and model data showed limited overnight cooling potential under this stable air mass, with ensemble runs converging on lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. This aligns with the market-implied odds reflecting real-capital trader assessment of verified station data.
A late revision in final NWS verification or a shift to a different official reporting station could theoretically alter the outcome, though current reports make such scenarios highly improbable.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$11,647Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from LaGuardia Airport recorded a minimum of 70°F on August 22, 2026, anchoring the strong 93% market consensus on the 70-71°F bin.** Mostly cloudy skies overnight limited radiative cooling, while moderate humidity and light northeast winds kept temperatures from falling further below seasonal norms near 68°F. NWS and model data showed limited overnight cooling potential under this stable air mass, with ensemble runs converging on lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. This aligns with the market-implied odds reflecting real-capital trader assessment of verified station data.
A late revision in final NWS verification or a shift to a different official reporting station could theoretically alter the outcome, though current reports make such scenarios highly improbable.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$11,647Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Official observations from LaGuardia Airport recorded a minimum of 70°F on August 22, 2026, anchoring the strong 93% market consensus on the 70-71°F bin.** Mostly cloudy skies overnight limited radiative cooling, while moderate humidity and light northeast winds kept temperatures from falling further below seasonal norms near 68°F. NWS and model data showed limited overnight cooling potential under this stable air mass, with ensemble runs converging on lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. This aligns with the market-implied odds reflecting real-capital trader assessment of verified station data. A late revision in final NWS verification or a shift to a different official reporting station could theoretically alter the outcome, though current reports make such scenarios highly improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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