Latest ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers point to Moscow's overnight low on August 23 settling near 15°C, with 14–16°C outcomes dominating trader consensus at combined 94% implied probability. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and typical late-summer boundary-layer conditions favor this narrow range, while modest model spread arises from variable cloud timing and urban heat-island effects at official stations. Historical August minima average 13–15°C, providing climatological context, yet any increase in low-level moisture or earlier frontal passage could nudge readings toward 14°C or below. Updated short-range guidance through the evening will refine resolution thresholds for this single-day contract.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Moscow on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 23?
15°C 40%
14°C 20%
13°C 19%
11°C 8.6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
9%
12°C
8%
13°C
19%
14°C
20%
15°C
40%
16°C
34%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 40%
14°C 20%
13°C 19%
11°C 8.6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
10°C or below
$96 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$234 Wol.
9%
12°C
$59 Wol.
8%
13°C
$10 Wol.
19%
14°C
$10 Wol.
20%
15°C
$38 Wol.
40%
16°C
$22 Wol.
34%
17°C
$215 Wol.
1%
18°C
$208 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$138 Wol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$479 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers point to Moscow's overnight low on August 23 settling near 15°C, with 14–16°C outcomes dominating trader consensus at combined 94% implied probability. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and typical late-summer boundary-layer conditions favor this narrow range, while modest model spread arises from variable cloud timing and urban heat-island effects at official stations. Historical August minima average 13–15°C, providing climatological context, yet any increase in low-level moisture or earlier frontal passage could nudge readings toward 14°C or below. Updated short-range guidance through the evening will refine resolution thresholds for this single-day contract.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,509Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers point to Moscow's overnight low on August 23 settling near 15°C, with 14–16°C outcomes dominating trader consensus at combined 94% implied probability. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and typical late-summer boundary-layer conditions favor this narrow range, while modest model spread arises from variable cloud timing and urban heat-island effects at official stations. Historical August minima average 13–15°C, providing climatological context, yet any increase in low-level moisture or earlier frontal passage could nudge readings toward 14°C or below. Updated short-range guidance through the evening will refine resolution thresholds for this single-day contract.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,509Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers point to Moscow's overnight low on August 23 settling near 15°C, with 14–16°C outcomes dominating trader consensus at combined 94% implied probability. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and typical late-summer boundary-layer conditions favor this narrow range, while modest model spread arises from variable cloud timing and urban heat-island effects at official stations. Historical August minima average 13–15°C, providing climatological context, yet any increase in low-level moisture or earlier frontal passage could nudge readings toward 14°C or below. Updated short-range guidance through the evening will refine resolution thresholds for this single-day contract.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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