Forecasts from multiple meteorological services, including consistent model runs showing overnight lows near 13°C under cloudy, rainy conditions with light northerly winds, underpin the dominant 85% implied probability for that exact minimum in Mexico City. The city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters promotes rapid radiative cooling at night, while August's typical monsoon-season cloud cover and precipitation moderate extremes but align with seasonal averages around 12–14°C. Recent August 2026 observations, with daily minima mostly 12–15°C and no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky intensification, reinforce this outcome. Resolution hinges on official station readings of the day's absolute low, with traders weighting current consensus guidance over historical variance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 23?
13°C 85%
12°C 16%
11°C 15%
14°C <1%
$1,760 Wol.
$1,760 Wol.
Aug 23, 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
15%
12°C
16%
13°C
85%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 85%
12°C 16%
11°C 15%
14°C <1%
$1,760 Wol.
$1,760 Wol.
Aug 23, 2026
9°C or below
$43 Wol.
1%
10°C
$20 Wol.
1%
11°C
$0 Wol.
15%
12°C
$0 Wol.
16%
13°C
$41 Wol.
85%
14°C
$591 Wol.
1%
15°C
$388 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$157 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$170 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$169 Wol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$180 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple meteorological services, including consistent model runs showing overnight lows near 13°C under cloudy, rainy conditions with light northerly winds, underpin the dominant 85% implied probability for that exact minimum in Mexico City. The city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters promotes rapid radiative cooling at night, while August's typical monsoon-season cloud cover and precipitation moderate extremes but align with seasonal averages around 12–14°C. Recent August 2026 observations, with daily minima mostly 12–15°C and no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky intensification, reinforce this outcome. Resolution hinges on official station readings of the day's absolute low, with traders weighting current consensus guidance over historical variance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,760Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple meteorological services, including consistent model runs showing overnight lows near 13°C under cloudy, rainy conditions with light northerly winds, underpin the dominant 85% implied probability for that exact minimum in Mexico City. The city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters promotes rapid radiative cooling at night, while August's typical monsoon-season cloud cover and precipitation moderate extremes but align with seasonal averages around 12–14°C. Recent August 2026 observations, with daily minima mostly 12–15°C and no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky intensification, reinforce this outcome. Resolution hinges on official station readings of the day's absolute low, with traders weighting current consensus guidance over historical variance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,760Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple meteorological services, including consistent model runs showing overnight lows near 13°C under cloudy, rainy conditions with light northerly winds, underpin the dominant 85% implied probability for that exact minimum in Mexico City. The city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters promotes rapid radiative cooling at night, while August's typical monsoon-season cloud cover and precipitation moderate extremes but align with seasonal averages around 12–14°C. Recent August 2026 observations, with daily minima mostly 12–15°C and no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky intensification, reinforce this outcome. Resolution hinges on official station readings of the day's absolute low, with traders weighting current consensus guidance over historical variance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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