Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a daily minimum near 28°C on August 24, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, light southwest winds, and no significant cooling advection. This aligns with climatological August overnight lows averaging 26–28°C and recent model consensus showing limited diurnal cooling under cloudy or showery skies. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 28°C reflects this strong observational baseline from official monitoring networks, though modest uncertainty remains if heavier rainfall or localized urban effects alter the recorded minimum by 1°C. Updated forecast runs or final observatory readings near resolution could still shift odds marginally.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
28°C 99%
27°C 2%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
$21,608 Wol.
$21,608 Wol.
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
99%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99%
27°C 2%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
$21,608 Wol.
$21,608 Wol.
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$120 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$120 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$210 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$1,510 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$1,856 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$2,271 Wol.
1%
27°C
$3,597 Wol.
2%
28°C
$6,009 Wol.
99%
29°C
$5,660 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$125 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$130 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a daily minimum near 28°C on August 24, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, light southwest winds, and no significant cooling advection. This aligns with climatological August overnight lows averaging 26–28°C and recent model consensus showing limited diurnal cooling under cloudy or showery skies. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 28°C reflects this strong observational baseline from official monitoring networks, though modest uncertainty remains if heavier rainfall or localized urban effects alter the recorded minimum by 1°C. Updated forecast runs or final observatory readings near resolution could still shift odds marginally.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$21,608Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a daily minimum near 28°C on August 24, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, light southwest winds, and no significant cooling advection. This aligns with climatological August overnight lows averaging 26–28°C and recent model consensus showing limited diurnal cooling under cloudy or showery skies. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 28°C reflects this strong observational baseline from official monitoring networks, though modest uncertainty remains if heavier rainfall or localized urban effects alter the recorded minimum by 1°C. Updated forecast runs or final observatory readings near resolution could still shift odds marginally.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$21,608Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a daily minimum near 28°C on August 24, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, light southwest winds, and no significant cooling advection. This aligns with climatological August overnight lows averaging 26–28°C and recent model consensus showing limited diurnal cooling under cloudy or showery skies. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 28°C reflects this strong observational baseline from official monitoring networks, though modest uncertainty remains if heavier rainfall or localized urban effects alter the recorded minimum by 1°C. Updated forecast runs or final observatory readings near resolution could still shift odds marginally.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania