Current forecast models for Chongqing point to a minimum temperature near 27–28°C on August 24, driven by persistent high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling in the city's subtropical basin setting. Typical August climatology shows overnight lows of 24–26°C, but recent patterns of elevated daytime heat (highs 34–37°C) and variable cloud cover or light winds are keeping air masses warmer overnight. Small differences in forecast precipitation timing, urban heat retention, or weak frontal influences can easily shift the recorded low by 1–2°C across official stations, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–29°C outcomes. Traders are balancing ensemble model consensus against historical variability as resolution approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on August 24?
29°C or higher 42%
27°C 34%
24°C 34%
25°C 34%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
24%
24°C
34%
25°C
34%
26°C
19%
27°C
34%
28°C
33%
29°C or higher
42%
29°C or higher 42%
27°C 34%
24°C 34%
25°C 34%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
$40 Wol.
1%
20°C
$23 Wol.
1%
21°C
$70 Wol.
1%
22°C
$85 Wol.
5%
23°C
$49 Wol.
24%
24°C
$0 Wol.
34%
25°C
$0 Wol.
34%
26°C
$42 Wol.
19%
27°C
$0 Wol.
34%
28°C
$0 Wol.
33%
29°C or higher
$0 Wol.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Chongqing point to a minimum temperature near 27–28°C on August 24, driven by persistent high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling in the city's subtropical basin setting. Typical August climatology shows overnight lows of 24–26°C, but recent patterns of elevated daytime heat (highs 34–37°C) and variable cloud cover or light winds are keeping air masses warmer overnight. Small differences in forecast precipitation timing, urban heat retention, or weak frontal influences can easily shift the recorded low by 1–2°C across official stations, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–29°C outcomes. Traders are balancing ensemble model consensus against historical variability as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$308Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Chongqing point to a minimum temperature near 27–28°C on August 24, driven by persistent high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling in the city's subtropical basin setting. Typical August climatology shows overnight lows of 24–26°C, but recent patterns of elevated daytime heat (highs 34–37°C) and variable cloud cover or light winds are keeping air masses warmer overnight. Small differences in forecast precipitation timing, urban heat retention, or weak frontal influences can easily shift the recorded low by 1–2°C across official stations, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–29°C outcomes. Traders are balancing ensemble model consensus against historical variability as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$308Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Chongqing point to a minimum temperature near 27–28°C on August 24, driven by persistent high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling in the city's subtropical basin setting. Typical August climatology shows overnight lows of 24–26°C, but recent patterns of elevated daytime heat (highs 34–37°C) and variable cloud cover or light winds are keeping air masses warmer overnight. Small differences in forecast precipitation timing, urban heat retention, or weak frontal influences can easily shift the recorded low by 1–2°C across official stations, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–29°C outcomes. Traders are balancing ensemble model consensus against historical variability as resolution approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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