Current short-range forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum of 31–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 24, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Stable high pressure, light westerly flow, and moderating sea breezes from the Mediterranean limit afternoon heating, keeping values near the long-term August average of 30–32°C without anomalous warmth or blocking patterns. Recent mid-month heat and thunderstorm activity have eased, with no major model shifts or extreme observations in the past 48 hours supporting deviations. Traders' skin-in-the-game consensus therefore favors the 32–33°C range while assigning low probability to outliers beyond 34°C absent unexpected forecast revisions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24?
33°C 62%
32°C 34%
34°C 7%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
34%
33°C
62%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 62%
32°C 34%
34°C 7%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
34%
33°C
62%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum of 31–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 24, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Stable high pressure, light westerly flow, and moderating sea breezes from the Mediterranean limit afternoon heating, keeping values near the long-term August average of 30–32°C without anomalous warmth or blocking patterns. Recent mid-month heat and thunderstorm activity have eased, with no major model shifts or extreme observations in the past 48 hours supporting deviations. Traders' skin-in-the-game consensus therefore favors the 32–33°C range while assigning low probability to outliers beyond 34°C absent unexpected forecast revisions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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