Recent forecast model runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF place Helsinki’s August 24 maximum near the 18–19 °C threshold, driving the near-even 38–40 % market split. A weak northerly flow ahead of an approaching low-pressure system is limiting daytime heating while scattered cloud and light showers suppress peak insolation. Surface observations from the prior 48 hours show temperatures running 1–2 °C below seasonal norms, keeping 20 °C-plus outcomes below 10 %. Traders are weighing the precise timing of any clearing skies against model spread in boundary-layer moisture; updated guidance expected overnight will likely decide whether the daily high settles at 18 °C or edges to 19 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 24?
19°C 40%
18°C 38%
17°C 10%
20°C 10%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
10%
18°C
38%
19°C
40%
20°C
10%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
1%
19°C 40%
18°C 38%
17°C 10%
20°C 10%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
10%
18°C
38%
19°C
40%
20°C
10%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF place Helsinki’s August 24 maximum near the 18–19 °C threshold, driving the near-even 38–40 % market split. A weak northerly flow ahead of an approaching low-pressure system is limiting daytime heating while scattered cloud and light showers suppress peak insolation. Surface observations from the prior 48 hours show temperatures running 1–2 °C below seasonal norms, keeping 20 °C-plus outcomes below 10 %. Traders are weighing the precise timing of any clearing skies against model spread in boundary-layer moisture; updated guidance expected overnight will likely decide whether the daily high settles at 18 °C or edges to 19 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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