Incumbent Democrat April McClain Delaney secured the nomination in the June 2026 primary, defeating well-funded challengers including David Trone, and now faces Republican Robin Ficker in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in prior results and ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report (Solid D) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe D), underpins trader consensus around a 92.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Strong fundraising by the incumbent and limited competitive pressure in this western Maryland and Montgomery County suburban seat further reinforce the positioning. Shifts could occur from late-breaking national political developments, candidate-specific events, or unusually high turnout swings, though current evidence points to structural advantages holding through election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$31,625 Vol.
$31,625 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$31,625 Vol.
$31,625 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$19,144 Vol.
93%
共和党
$12,480 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat April McClain Delaney secured the nomination in the June 2026 primary, defeating well-funded challengers including David Trone, and now faces Republican Robin Ficker in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in prior results and ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report (Solid D) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe D), underpins trader consensus around a 92.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Strong fundraising by the incumbent and limited competitive pressure in this western Maryland and Montgomery County suburban seat further reinforce the positioning. Shifts could occur from late-breaking national political developments, candidate-specific events, or unusually high turnout swings, though current evidence points to structural advantages holding through election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$31,625終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat April McClain Delaney secured the nomination in the June 2026 primary, defeating well-funded challengers including David Trone, and now faces Republican Robin Ficker in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in prior results and ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report (Solid D) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe D), underpins trader consensus around a 92.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Strong fundraising by the incumbent and limited competitive pressure in this western Maryland and Montgomery County suburban seat further reinforce the positioning. Shifts could occur from late-breaking national political developments, candidate-specific events, or unusually high turnout swings, though current evidence points to structural advantages holding through election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$31,625終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat April McClain Delaney secured the nomination in the June 2026 primary, defeating well-funded challengers including David Trone, and now faces Republican Robin Ficker in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in prior results and ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report (Solid D) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe D), underpins trader consensus around a 92.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Strong fundraising by the incumbent and limited competitive pressure in this western Maryland and Montgomery County suburban seat further reinforce the positioning. Shifts could occur from late-breaking national political developments, candidate-specific events, or unusually high turnout swings, though current evidence points to structural advantages holding through election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問