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icon for CA -11下院選挙当選者(個人)

CA -11下院選挙当選者(個人)

icon for CA -11下院選挙当選者(個人)

CA -11下院選挙当選者(個人)

Polymarket

$13,602 Vol.

Polymarket

$13,602 Vol.

スコット・ウィーナー

$3,105 Vol.

60%

コニー・チャン

$10,497 Vol.

41%

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Wiener holds a modest edge in the November general election for California's 11th Congressional District after topping the June top-two primary with 40.7% to Connie Chan's 29.7%. The solidly Democratic San Francisco seat, vacated by Nancy Pelosi's retirement, features two Democrats whose campaigns highlight differences in housing policy, public safety priorities, and coalition building. Wiener draws broader geographic and demographic support plus endorsements from state Democratic leaders, while Chan benefits from Pelosi's backing and progressive-labor networks. Fundraising and independent spending have favored Wiener, yet the race remains competitive because turnout patterns among key San Francisco voting blocs and late-cycle endorsements could still shift margins in the final weeks before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$13,602
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Wiener holds a modest edge in the November general election for California's 11th Congressional District after topping the June top-two primary with 40.7% to Connie Chan's 29.7%. The solidly Democratic San Francisco seat, vacated by Nancy Pelosi's retirement, features two Democrats whose campaigns highlight differences in housing policy, public safety priorities, and coalition building. Wiener draws broader geographic and demographic support plus endorsements from state Democratic leaders, while Chan benefits from Pelosi's backing and progressive-labor networks. Fundraising and independent spending have favored Wiener, yet the race remains competitive because turnout patterns among key San Francisco voting blocs and late-cycle endorsements could still shift margins in the final weeks before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$13,602
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「CA -11下院選挙当選者(個人)」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「スコット・ウィーナー」で60%、次いで「コニー・チャン」が41%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、60¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に60%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「CA -11下院選挙当選者(個人)」は$13.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 9, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「CA -11下院選挙当選者(個人)」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「CA -11下院選挙当選者(個人)」の現在のフロントランナーは「スコット・ウィーナー」で60%であり、市場がこの結果に60%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「コニー・チャン」で41%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「CA -11下院選挙当選者(個人)」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。