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icon for インディアナ州州務長官選挙の勝者

インディアナ州州務長官選挙の勝者

icon for インディアナ州州務長官選挙の勝者

インディアナ州州務長官選挙の勝者

Polymarket
新規
Polymarket
新規
icon for ボー・バイ (民主党)

ボー・バイ (民主党)

$42 Vol.

54%

icon for マックス・エングリング(共和党)

マックス・エングリング(共和党)

$0 Vol.

32%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Beau Bayh and Max Engling remain the frontrunners in the November 3, 2026, Indiana Secretary of State race, with trader consensus reflecting a tight contest shaped by recent convention results and fundraising dynamics. Bayh secured the Democratic nomination in June and has leveraged family name recognition plus over $2 million in cash on hand to position himself as a challenger to long-standing Republican control of the office. Engling won the GOP nod after incumbent Diego Morales was ousted amid endorsement losses and questions over office practices, but the late primary shakeup has kept the Republican side unsettled. Independent Greg Ballard’s successful petition drive and strong Q2 fundraising have added another viable option, fragmenting support and sustaining narrow margins across outcomes. Upcoming debates and continued spending on election administration issues could further shift probabilities before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
音量
$42
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 1:56 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Beau Bayh and Max Engling remain the frontrunners in the November 3, 2026, Indiana Secretary of State race, with trader consensus reflecting a tight contest shaped by recent convention results and fundraising dynamics. Bayh secured the Democratic nomination in June and has leveraged family name recognition plus over $2 million in cash on hand to position himself as a challenger to long-standing Republican control of the office. Engling won the GOP nod after incumbent Diego Morales was ousted amid endorsement losses and questions over office practices, but the late primary shakeup has kept the Republican side unsettled. Independent Greg Ballard’s successful petition drive and strong Q2 fundraising have added another viable option, fragmenting support and sustaining narrow margins across outcomes. Upcoming debates and continued spending on election administration issues could further shift probabilities before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
音量
$42
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 1:56 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「インディアナ州州務長官選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ボー・バイ (民主党)」で54%、次いで「マックス・エングリング(共和党)」が32%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、54¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に54%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「インディアナ州州務長官選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 4, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「インディアナ州州務長官選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「インディアナ州州務長官選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ボー・バイ (民主党)」で54%であり、市場がこの結果に54%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「マックス・エングリング(共和党)」で32%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「インディアナ州州務長官選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。