Republican Jake Ellzey secured the party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with a comfortable majority and faces the general election on November 3 in a district that supported the Republican presidential ticket by double digits in 2024. The seat's consistent partisan lean, reinforced by voting patterns and fundraising advantages for the incumbent, underpins trader consensus around a Republican hold. Democratic challengers have not mounted a competitive primary or fundraising effort capable of narrowing the gap. Late developments such as a national partisan wave, major scandal involving the nominee, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still shift outcomes, though structural factors make such reversals uncommon in this district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$35,374 Vol.
$35,374 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
$35,374 Vol.
$35,374 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$14,192 Vol.
91%
民主党
$21,182 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Jake Ellzey secured the party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with a comfortable majority and faces the general election on November 3 in a district that supported the Republican presidential ticket by double digits in 2024. The seat's consistent partisan lean, reinforced by voting patterns and fundraising advantages for the incumbent, underpins trader consensus around a Republican hold. Democratic challengers have not mounted a competitive primary or fundraising effort capable of narrowing the gap. Late developments such as a national partisan wave, major scandal involving the nominee, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still shift outcomes, though structural factors make such reversals uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$35,374終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Jake Ellzey secured the party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with a comfortable majority and faces the general election on November 3 in a district that supported the Republican presidential ticket by double digits in 2024. The seat's consistent partisan lean, reinforced by voting patterns and fundraising advantages for the incumbent, underpins trader consensus around a Republican hold. Democratic challengers have not mounted a competitive primary or fundraising effort capable of narrowing the gap. Late developments such as a national partisan wave, major scandal involving the nominee, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still shift outcomes, though structural factors make such reversals uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$35,374終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Jake Ellzey secured the party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with a comfortable majority and faces the general election on November 3 in a district that supported the Republican presidential ticket by double digits in 2024. The seat's consistent partisan lean, reinforced by voting patterns and fundraising advantages for the incumbent, underpins trader consensus around a Republican hold. Democratic challengers have not mounted a competitive primary or fundraising effort capable of narrowing the gap. Late developments such as a national partisan wave, major scandal involving the nominee, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still shift outcomes, though structural factors make such reversals uncommon in this district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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