Incumbent Republican Beth Van Duyne’s strong performance in the suburban Dallas district, where she secured reelection by over 20 points in 2024, underpins the Republican Party’s dominant 84.5% implied probability in the TX-24 House race. The seat carries an R+8 partisan voting index and received a Solid Republican rating from analysts, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited Democratic inroads despite national midterm dynamics. Democratic nominee Kevin Burge emerged from a May 2026 runoff, yet primary results and fundraising trails indicate the challenger faces structural barriers typical of this territory. With the general election set for November 2026 and no major shifts in polling or endorsements reported since the primaries, trader consensus aligns with historical base rates for incumbent-held Republican districts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$56,401 Vol.
$56,401 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
85%
民主党
15%
$56,401 Vol.
$56,401 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$34,148 Vol.
85%
民主党
$22,253 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Beth Van Duyne’s strong performance in the suburban Dallas district, where she secured reelection by over 20 points in 2024, underpins the Republican Party’s dominant 84.5% implied probability in the TX-24 House race. The seat carries an R+8 partisan voting index and received a Solid Republican rating from analysts, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited Democratic inroads despite national midterm dynamics. Democratic nominee Kevin Burge emerged from a May 2026 runoff, yet primary results and fundraising trails indicate the challenger faces structural barriers typical of this territory. With the general election set for November 2026 and no major shifts in polling or endorsements reported since the primaries, trader consensus aligns with historical base rates for incumbent-held Republican districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$56,401終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Beth Van Duyne’s strong performance in the suburban Dallas district, where she secured reelection by over 20 points in 2024, underpins the Republican Party’s dominant 84.5% implied probability in the TX-24 House race. The seat carries an R+8 partisan voting index and received a Solid Republican rating from analysts, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited Democratic inroads despite national midterm dynamics. Democratic nominee Kevin Burge emerged from a May 2026 runoff, yet primary results and fundraising trails indicate the challenger faces structural barriers typical of this territory. With the general election set for November 2026 and no major shifts in polling or endorsements reported since the primaries, trader consensus aligns with historical base rates for incumbent-held Republican districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$56,401終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Beth Van Duyne’s strong performance in the suburban Dallas district, where she secured reelection by over 20 points in 2024, underpins the Republican Party’s dominant 84.5% implied probability in the TX-24 House race. The seat carries an R+8 partisan voting index and received a Solid Republican rating from analysts, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited Democratic inroads despite national midterm dynamics. Democratic nominee Kevin Burge emerged from a May 2026 runoff, yet primary results and fundraising trails indicate the challenger faces structural barriers typical of this territory. With the general election set for November 2026 and no major shifts in polling or endorsements reported since the primaries, trader consensus aligns with historical base rates for incumbent-held Republican districts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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