Republican incumbent Lloyd Smucker holds a strong position in Pennsylvania’s 11th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election. The district’s partisan composition, centered in Lancaster and southern York counties with a Republican-leaning voter base, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Smucker advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Nancy Mannion, a nurse and first-time candidate, faces structural challenges in mobilizing support. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have altered the outlook in recent weeks. Historical patterns in this district and similar safe Republican seats further reinforce the implied probability that the GOP nominee will prevail.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,782 Vol.
$14,782 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
90%
民主党
9%
$14,782 Vol.
$14,782 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$9,832 Vol.
90%
民主党
$4,950 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Lloyd Smucker holds a strong position in Pennsylvania’s 11th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election. The district’s partisan composition, centered in Lancaster and southern York counties with a Republican-leaning voter base, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Smucker advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Nancy Mannion, a nurse and first-time candidate, faces structural challenges in mobilizing support. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have altered the outlook in recent weeks. Historical patterns in this district and similar safe Republican seats further reinforce the implied probability that the GOP nominee will prevail.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$14,782終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Lloyd Smucker holds a strong position in Pennsylvania’s 11th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election. The district’s partisan composition, centered in Lancaster and southern York counties with a Republican-leaning voter base, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Smucker advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Nancy Mannion, a nurse and first-time candidate, faces structural challenges in mobilizing support. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have altered the outlook in recent weeks. Historical patterns in this district and similar safe Republican seats further reinforce the implied probability that the GOP nominee will prevail.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,782終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Lloyd Smucker holds a strong position in Pennsylvania’s 11th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election. The district’s partisan composition, centered in Lancaster and southern York counties with a Republican-leaning voter base, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Smucker advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Nancy Mannion, a nurse and first-time candidate, faces structural challenges in mobilizing support. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have altered the outlook in recent weeks. Historical patterns in this district and similar safe Republican seats further reinforce the implied probability that the GOP nominee will prevail.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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