Lindsey Graham’s death on July 11, 2026, one month after he secured the Republican nomination in the regular June 9 primary, has triggered a special primary set for mid-August under South Carolina law. This sudden vacancy has produced a crowded field with no established frontrunner, as multiple sitting and former members of Congress, statewide officials, and prior candidates weigh bids. Trader consensus remains tightly clustered because filing deadlines are imminent, name recognition and fundraising capacity are still fluid, and no major endorsements or polling have yet consolidated support behind any single contender. Developments that could shift probabilities include formal announcements from high-profile figures such as Nancy Mace or Mark Lynch, early polling releases, or alignment by party leaders that narrows the field before the August vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ダーリン・グラハム・ノードーン 71.6%
ラルフ・ノーマン 13%
ラッセル・フライ 9%
トレイ・ガウディ 4.4%
$269,538 Vol.
$269,538 Vol.
ダーリン・グラハム・ノードーン
72%
ラルフ・ノーマン
13%
ラッセル・フライ
9%
トレイ・ガウディ
4%
パメラ・エヴェット
1%
マーク・リンチ
1%
ナンシー・メイス
<1%
ジョー・ウィルソン
<1%
ポール・ダンス
<1%
ウィリアム・ティモンズ
<1%
シェリ・ビッグス
<1%
アンドレ・バウアー
<1%
アラン・ウィルソン
<1%
スコット・ベセント
<1%
ダーリン・グラハム・ノードーン 71.6%
ラルフ・ノーマン 13%
ラッセル・フライ 9%
トレイ・ガウディ 4.4%
$269,538 Vol.
$269,538 Vol.
ダーリン・グラハム・ノードーン
72%
ラルフ・ノーマン
13%
ラッセル・フライ
9%
トレイ・ガウディ
4%
パメラ・エヴェット
1%
マーク・リンチ
1%
ナンシー・メイス
<1%
ジョー・ウィルソン
<1%
ポール・ダンス
<1%
ウィリアム・ティモンズ
<1%
シェリ・ビッグス
<1%
アンドレ・バウアー
<1%
アラン・ウィルソン
<1%
スコット・ベセント
<1%
If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election.
If the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日： Jul 12, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election.
If the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Lindsey Graham’s death on July 11, 2026, one month after he secured the Republican nomination in the regular June 9 primary, has triggered a special primary set for mid-August under South Carolina law. This sudden vacancy has produced a crowded field with no established frontrunner, as multiple sitting and former members of Congress, statewide officials, and prior candidates weigh bids. Trader consensus remains tightly clustered because filing deadlines are imminent, name recognition and fundraising capacity are still fluid, and no major endorsements or polling have yet consolidated support behind any single contender. Developments that could shift probabilities include formal announcements from high-profile figures such as Nancy Mace or Mark Lynch, early polling releases, or alignment by party leaders that narrows the field before the August vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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