The closely matched probabilities in the 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election market reflect a highly fragmented field of over two dozen accredited regional parties competing under a mixed electoral system of party-list seats, single-member districts, and sectoral representation ahead of the September 14 vote. Recent legislative action resetting the date via Republic Act 12317, ongoing Comelec security coordination with police and military, and pending Supreme Court petitions on procedural matters have sustained uncertainty. Clan-based dynamics, alliances among former rebel-linked groups such as UBJP and Bangsamoro Party, and commitments from multiple parties to peaceful conduct further prevent any single contender from consolidating trader consensus. Developments including finalized nominee lists, intensified security measures, or shifts in coalition negotiations could produce clearer separation in the weeks before polling.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日UBJP 78%
BFP 15%
ROHOSUPA 3.4%
マハルディカ 3.1%
$18,710 Vol.
$18,710 Vol.
UBJP
78%
BFP
15%
ROHOSUPA
3%
マハルディカ
3%
THE ROYALS
3%
ISLPI
3%
DTLO
3%
BGC
3%
選挙の延期・中止
3%
RSEU
3%
PBB
3%
ムシャワラ
2%
TPWC
2%
RAAYAT民主党
2%
ISAMA
2%
RSL
2%
MORO AKO
2%
ABOT
2%
ROHOSUMA
1%
プログレシボ・バンサモロ党
<1%
C4P
<1%
BEST PARTY
<1%
LBIAA
<1%
BAPA
<1%
UBJP 78%
BFP 15%
ROHOSUPA 3.4%
マハルディカ 3.1%
$18,710 Vol.
$18,710 Vol.
UBJP
78%
BFP
15%
ROHOSUPA
3%
マハルディカ
3%
THE ROYALS
3%
ISLPI
3%
DTLO
3%
BGC
3%
選挙の延期・中止
3%
RSEU
3%
PBB
3%
ムシャワラ
2%
TPWC
2%
RAAYAT民主党
2%
ISAMA
2%
RSL
2%
MORO AKO
2%
ABOT
2%
ROHOSUMA
1%
プログレシボ・バンサモロ党
<1%
C4P
<1%
BEST PARTY
<1%
LBIAA
<1%
BAPA
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
マーケット開始日: Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities in the 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election market reflect a highly fragmented field of over two dozen accredited regional parties competing under a mixed electoral system of party-list seats, single-member districts, and sectoral representation ahead of the September 14 vote. Recent legislative action resetting the date via Republic Act 12317, ongoing Comelec security coordination with police and military, and pending Supreme Court petitions on procedural matters have sustained uncertainty. Clan-based dynamics, alliances among former rebel-linked groups such as UBJP and Bangsamoro Party, and commitments from multiple parties to peaceful conduct further prevent any single contender from consolidating trader consensus. Developments including finalized nominee lists, intensified security measures, or shifts in coalition negotiations could produce clearer separation in the weeks before polling.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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