United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its structural advantages in Russia's mixed electoral system, including strong performance in single-member districts, extensive administrative resources, and consistent polling support near 40-50 percent. The party, currently holding a supermajority, has positioned Dmitry Medvedev at the top of its list alongside other prominent figures ahead of the three-day vote. New People has seen rising support in recent independent and state-affiliated polls, overtaking some systemic opposition parties and reaching around 10-13 percent by criticizing specific policies such as internet restrictions, which accounts for its secondary market position. Other parties including the CPRF and LDPR trail further behind amid limited genuine competition and ongoing restrictions on non-systemic opposition. The election timing, one month away, and historical patterns of incumbent dominance continue to shape the implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日統一ロシア（ER） 72%
ニューピープル（NL） 20.2%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） 5.7%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） 1.4%
$20,705,091 Vol.
$20,705,091 Vol.
2026/09/29
統一ロシア（ER）
72%
ニューピープル（NL）
20%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
6%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
1%
ロジーナ
<1%
公正ロシア・ための真実（SRZP）
<1%
ヤブロコ
<1%
シビック・プラットフォーム（GP）
<1%
統一ロシア（ER） 72%
ニューピープル（NL） 20.2%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） 5.7%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） 1.4%
$20,705,091 Vol.
$20,705,091 Vol.
2026/09/29
統一ロシア（ER）
$7,396,212 Vol.
72%
ニューピープル（NL）
$2,159,652 Vol.
20%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
$3,241,386 Vol.
6%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
$1,356,920 Vol.
1%
ロジーナ
$2,492,598 Vol.
<1%
公正ロシア・ための真実（SRZP）
$1,557,237 Vol.
<1%
ヤブロコ
$1,226,023 Vol.
<1%
シビック・プラットフォーム（GP）
$1,275,063 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its structural advantages in Russia's mixed electoral system, including strong performance in single-member districts, extensive administrative resources, and consistent polling support near 40-50 percent. The party, currently holding a supermajority, has positioned Dmitry Medvedev at the top of its list alongside other prominent figures ahead of the three-day vote. New People has seen rising support in recent independent and state-affiliated polls, overtaking some systemic opposition parties and reaching around 10-13 percent by criticizing specific policies such as internet restrictions, which accounts for its secondary market position. Other parties including the CPRF and LDPR trail further behind amid limited genuine competition and ongoing restrictions on non-systemic opposition. The election timing, one month away, and historical patterns of incumbent dominance continue to shape the implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
マーケット開始日： Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
音量
$20,705,091終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its structural advantages in Russia's mixed electoral system, including strong performance in single-member districts, extensive administrative resources, and consistent polling support near 40-50 percent. The party, currently holding a supermajority, has positioned Dmitry Medvedev at the top of its list alongside other prominent figures ahead of the three-day vote. New People has seen rising support in recent independent and state-affiliated polls, overtaking some systemic opposition parties and reaching around 10-13 percent by criticizing specific policies such as internet restrictions, which accounts for its secondary market position. Other parties including the CPRF and LDPR trail further behind amid limited genuine competition and ongoing restrictions on non-systemic opposition. The election timing, one month away, and historical patterns of incumbent dominance continue to shape the implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
音量
$20,705,091終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its structural advantages in Russia's mixed electoral system, including strong performance in single-member districts, extensive administrative resources, and consistent polling support near 40-50 percent. The party, currently holding a supermajority, has positioned Dmitry Medvedev at the top of its list alongside other prominent figures ahead of the three-day vote. New People has seen rising support in recent independent and state-affiliated polls, overtaking some systemic opposition parties and reaching around 10-13 percent by criticizing specific policies such as internet restrictions, which accounts for its secondary market position. Other parties including the CPRF and LDPR trail further behind amid limited genuine competition and ongoing restrictions on non-systemic opposition. The election timing, one month away, and historical patterns of incumbent dominance continue to shape the implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問