United Russia holds a commanding position in trader consensus for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with a longstanding constitutional majority, extensive regional organizational strength, and preferential access to federal media and administrative resources. Preparations by the Presidential Administration, including adjusted turnout and support targets amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict, underscore expectations of continued dominance despite some polling softness. New People has drawn secondary attention as a registered alternative with modest recent regional visibility, while CPRF, LDPR, and smaller parties face structural barriers to surpassing the leader. The three-day voting format and limited independent polling variation further reinforce the implied probability that United Russia will secure the largest seat total.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日統一ロシア（ER） 73%
ニューピープル（NL） 19.3%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） 5.5%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） 1.4%
$20,695,846 Vol.
$20,695,846 Vol.
2026/09/29
統一ロシア（ER）
73%
ニューピープル（NL）
19%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
6%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
1%
ロジーナ
<1%
公正ロシア・ための真実（SRZP）
<1%
ヤブロコ
<1%
シビック・プラットフォーム（GP）
<1%
統一ロシア（ER） 73%
ニューピープル（NL） 19.3%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） 5.5%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） 1.4%
$20,695,846 Vol.
$20,695,846 Vol.
2026/09/29
統一ロシア（ER）
$7,389,007 Vol.
73%
ニューピープル（NL）
$2,158,958 Vol.
19%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
$3,240,557 Vol.
6%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
$1,356,840 Vol.
1%
ロジーナ
$2,492,464 Vol.
<1%
公正ロシア・ための真実（SRZP）
$1,557,131 Vol.
<1%
ヤブロコ
$1,225,827 Vol.
<1%
シビック・プラットフォーム（GP）
$1,275,063 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia holds a commanding position in trader consensus for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with a longstanding constitutional majority, extensive regional organizational strength, and preferential access to federal media and administrative resources. Preparations by the Presidential Administration, including adjusted turnout and support targets amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict, underscore expectations of continued dominance despite some polling softness. New People has drawn secondary attention as a registered alternative with modest recent regional visibility, while CPRF, LDPR, and smaller parties face structural barriers to surpassing the leader. The three-day voting format and limited independent polling variation further reinforce the implied probability that United Russia will secure the largest seat total.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
マーケット開始日： Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
音量
$20,695,846終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia holds a commanding position in trader consensus for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with a longstanding constitutional majority, extensive regional organizational strength, and preferential access to federal media and administrative resources. Preparations by the Presidential Administration, including adjusted turnout and support targets amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict, underscore expectations of continued dominance despite some polling softness. New People has drawn secondary attention as a registered alternative with modest recent regional visibility, while CPRF, LDPR, and smaller parties face structural barriers to surpassing the leader. The three-day voting format and limited independent polling variation further reinforce the implied probability that United Russia will secure the largest seat total.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
音量
$20,695,846終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia holds a commanding position in trader consensus for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with a longstanding constitutional majority, extensive regional organizational strength, and preferential access to federal media and administrative resources. Preparations by the Presidential Administration, including adjusted turnout and support targets amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict, underscore expectations of continued dominance despite some polling softness. New People has drawn secondary attention as a registered alternative with modest recent regional visibility, while CPRF, LDPR, and smaller parties face structural barriers to surpassing the leader. The three-day voting format and limited independent polling variation further reinforce the implied probability that United Russia will secure the largest seat total.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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