Recent polling trends have positioned New People and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia as the primary contenders for third place in the September 2026 State Duma elections, with mixed survey results from organizations such as VCIOM and FOM creating uncertainty around their relative standing behind United Russia and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation. New People's consistent double-digit ratings in several recent polls reflect its appeal among younger and regional voters, while the LDPR benefits from established organizational networks and nationalist positioning that could consolidate support in single-member districts. The KPRF trails in current trader pricing due to softer recent numbers, though its traditional base and mixed electoral system dynamics could narrow gaps depending on turnout and campaign intensity. Administrative preparations and candidate registration deadlines through July have further shaped expectations for the systemic opposition parties.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日New People (NL) 42%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 14%
ヤブロコ 1.4%
$57,207 Vol.
$57,207 Vol.

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
14%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
33%

New People (NL)
42%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

ヤブロコ
1%
New People (NL) 42%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 14%
ヤブロコ 1.4%
$57,207 Vol.
$57,207 Vol.

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
14%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
33%

New People (NL)
42%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

ヤブロコ
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
マーケット開始日: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends have positioned New People and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia as the primary contenders for third place in the September 2026 State Duma elections, with mixed survey results from organizations such as VCIOM and FOM creating uncertainty around their relative standing behind United Russia and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation. New People's consistent double-digit ratings in several recent polls reflect its appeal among younger and regional voters, while the LDPR benefits from established organizational networks and nationalist positioning that could consolidate support in single-member districts. The KPRF trails in current trader pricing due to softer recent numbers, though its traditional base and mixed electoral system dynamics could narrow gaps depending on turnout and campaign intensity. Administrative preparations and candidate registration deadlines through July have further shaped expectations for the systemic opposition parties.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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