Recent opinion polls show Sweden’s centre-left opposition bloc, anchored by the Social Democrats, holding a clear lead of roughly 7–10 points over the incumbent right-wing coalition ahead of the September 13 general election. This consistent advantage, confirmed in multiple surveys through mid-August, has driven trader consensus that Magdalena Andersson is the overwhelming favorite to return as prime minister. The governing bloc’s position has been further pressured by the Liberals polling below the 4% threshold and by limited momentum for bloc partners. While the gap has narrowed slightly from earlier summer readings, the structural advantage for the red-green parties and the short time remaining before voters decide have kept Andersson’s implied probability above 85%. Other listed candidates remain marginal because current seat projections make alternative government formations unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日マグダレナ・アンデション 86%
ウルフ・クリステルソン 13%
ジミー・オーケソン 1.1%
エバ・ブッシュ 1.0%
$3,683,210 Vol.
$3,683,210 Vol.
マグダレナ・アンデション
86%
ウルフ・クリステルソン
13%
ジミー・オーケソン
1%
エバ・ブッシュ
1%
エリザベート・タンド・リングクヴィスト
1%
ヌーシ・ダドゴスター
<1%
アンナ＝カリン・ハット
<1%
アマンダ・リンド
<1%
シモナ・モハムソン
<1%
ダニエル・ヘルデーン
<1%
マグダレナ・アンデション 86%
ウルフ・クリステルソン 13%
ジミー・オーケソン 1.1%
エバ・ブッシュ 1.0%
$3,683,210 Vol.
$3,683,210 Vol.
マグダレナ・アンデション
86%
ウルフ・クリステルソン
13%
ジミー・オーケソン
1%
エバ・ブッシュ
1%
エリザベート・タンド・リングクヴィスト
1%
ヌーシ・ダドゴスター
<1%
アンナ＝カリン・ハット
<1%
アマンダ・リンド
<1%
シモナ・モハムソン
<1%
ダニエル・ヘルデーン
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent opinion polls show Sweden’s centre-left opposition bloc, anchored by the Social Democrats, holding a clear lead of roughly 7–10 points over the incumbent right-wing coalition ahead of the September 13 general election. This consistent advantage, confirmed in multiple surveys through mid-August, has driven trader consensus that Magdalena Andersson is the overwhelming favorite to return as prime minister. The governing bloc’s position has been further pressured by the Liberals polling below the 4% threshold and by limited momentum for bloc partners. While the gap has narrowed slightly from earlier summer readings, the structural advantage for the red-green parties and the short time remaining before voters decide have kept Andersson’s implied probability above 85%. Other listed candidates remain marginal because current seat projections make alternative government formations unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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