Yabloko, a liberal opposition party that polled around 1.3% in the 2021 State Duma elections, faces intensified administrative and legal restrictions ahead of the September 2026 vote, including candidate disqualifications, fines for past statements, searches of regional offices, and extremism designations targeting activists. Party leader Nikolay Rybakov is barred from running, and founder Grigory Yavlinsky has signaled hesitation amid the crackdown. Recent registration of its federal list has not altered its structural position in a system dominated by United Russia and parliamentary parties, with polling averages remaining well below the 5% threshold required for proportional seats. These barriers, combined with Yabloko's limited regional infrastructure and the broader constraints on non-systemic opposition, underpin trader expectations reflected in current pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
6% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/20
はい
6% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/20
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Yabloko, a liberal opposition party that polled around 1.3% in the 2021 State Duma elections, faces intensified administrative and legal restrictions ahead of the September 2026 vote, including candidate disqualifications, fines for past statements, searches of regional offices, and extremism designations targeting activists. Party leader Nikolay Rybakov is barred from running, and founder Grigory Yavlinsky has signaled hesitation amid the crackdown. Recent registration of its federal list has not altered its structural position in a system dominated by United Russia and parliamentary parties, with polling averages remaining well below the 5% threshold required for proportional seats. These barriers, combined with Yabloko's limited regional infrastructure and the broader constraints on non-systemic opposition, underpin trader expectations reflected in current pricing.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
マーケット開始日： Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ET
音量
$5,703終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Yabloko, a liberal opposition party that polled around 1.3% in the 2021 State Duma elections, faces intensified administrative and legal restrictions ahead of the September 2026 vote, including candidate disqualifications, fines for past statements, searches of regional offices, and extremism designations targeting activists. Party leader Nikolay Rybakov is barred from running, and founder Grigory Yavlinsky has signaled hesitation amid the crackdown. Recent registration of its federal list has not altered its structural position in a system dominated by United Russia and parliamentary parties, with polling averages remaining well below the 5% threshold required for proportional seats. These barriers, combined with Yabloko's limited regional infrastructure and the broader constraints on non-systemic opposition, underpin trader expectations reflected in current pricing.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
音量
$5,703終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yabloko, a liberal opposition party that polled around 1.3% in the 2021 State Duma elections, faces intensified administrative and legal restrictions ahead of the September 2026 vote, including candidate disqualifications, fines for past statements, searches of regional offices, and extremism designations targeting activists. Party leader Nikolay Rybakov is barred from running, and founder Grigory Yavlinsky has signaled hesitation amid the crackdown. Recent registration of its federal list has not altered its structural position in a system dominated by United Russia and parliamentary parties, with polling averages remaining well below the 5% threshold required for proportional seats. These barriers, combined with Yabloko's limited regional infrastructure and the broader constraints on non-systemic opposition, underpin trader expectations reflected in current pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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