Ciro Gomes leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race as the PSDB pre-candidate with strong first-round polling at 44% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 33% in the latest Ipsos-Ipec survey, reflecting the former governor’s established regional base and decision to forgo a presidential bid. Elmano confirmed his re-election bid in May, emphasizing continuity with the current administration’s alliances, yet trails amid voter assessments of state management. Lower-probability options like Camilo Santana, Roberto Cláudio, Eduardo Girão, and Capitão Wagner register minimal support in surveys, as the contest has consolidated around the two primary figures ahead of the October first round and potential runoff. Market pricing aligns with these recent polling trends and Ciro’s campaign momentum four months from election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Ciro Gomes 76%
Elmano de Freitas 16%
カミロ・サンタナ 2.1%
Roberto Cláudio 1.2%
$75,053 Vol.
$75,053 Vol.
2026/10/04
Ciro Gomes
76%
Elmano de Freitas
16%
カミロ・サンタナ
2%
Roberto Cláudio
1%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 76%
Elmano de Freitas 16%
カミロ・サンタナ 2.1%
Roberto Cláudio 1.2%
$75,053 Vol.
$75,053 Vol.
2026/10/04
Ciro Gomes
$43,983 Vol.
76%
Elmano de Freitas
$10,851 Vol.
16%
カミロ・サンタナ
$4,561 Vol.
2%
Roberto Cláudio
$4,208 Vol.
1%
Eduardo Girão
$5,159 Vol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$6,293 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race as the PSDB pre-candidate with strong first-round polling at 44% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 33% in the latest Ipsos-Ipec survey, reflecting the former governor’s established regional base and decision to forgo a presidential bid. Elmano confirmed his re-election bid in May, emphasizing continuity with the current administration’s alliances, yet trails amid voter assessments of state management. Lower-probability options like Camilo Santana, Roberto Cláudio, Eduardo Girão, and Capitão Wagner register minimal support in surveys, as the contest has consolidated around the two primary figures ahead of the October first round and potential runoff. Market pricing aligns with these recent polling trends and Ciro’s campaign momentum four months from election day.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
音量
$75,053終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race as the PSDB pre-candidate with strong first-round polling at 44% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 33% in the latest Ipsos-Ipec survey, reflecting the former governor’s established regional base and decision to forgo a presidential bid. Elmano confirmed his re-election bid in May, emphasizing continuity with the current administration’s alliances, yet trails amid voter assessments of state management. Lower-probability options like Camilo Santana, Roberto Cláudio, Eduardo Girão, and Capitão Wagner register minimal support in surveys, as the contest has consolidated around the two primary figures ahead of the October first round and potential runoff. Market pricing aligns with these recent polling trends and Ciro’s campaign momentum four months from election day.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$75,053終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race as the PSDB pre-candidate with strong first-round polling at 44% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 33% in the latest Ipsos-Ipec survey, reflecting the former governor’s established regional base and decision to forgo a presidential bid. Elmano confirmed his re-election bid in May, emphasizing continuity with the current administration’s alliances, yet trails amid voter assessments of state management. Lower-probability options like Camilo Santana, Roberto Cláudio, Eduardo Girão, and Capitão Wagner register minimal support in surveys, as the contest has consolidated around the two primary figures ahead of the October first round and potential runoff. Market pricing aligns with these recent polling trends and Ciro’s campaign momentum four months from election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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