Recent polling has positioned Ciro Gomes (PSDB) as the frontrunner for Ceará governor, with leads of 9–13 points in first-round scenarios and stronger advantages in runoff simulations against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT), though margins have narrowed since August amid rising undecided voters and the start of free electoral airtime. Ciro’s alliance with the PL and selection of Roberto Cláudio as running mate have consolidated opposition support, while Elmano draws backing from Lula and former governor Camilo Santana. Ongoing debates have centered on public safety, employment, and state management, with both candidates emphasizing distinct approaches to violence reduction and economic growth ahead of the October 4 first round. Minor candidates remain far behind in surveys, leaving the contest effectively between the two main contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Ciro Gomes 57%
Elmano de Freitas 42%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$234,749 Vol.
$234,749 Vol.
2026/10/04
Ciro Gomes
57%
Elmano de Freitas
42%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
カミロ・サンタナ
<1%
Ciro Gomes 57%
Elmano de Freitas 42%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$234,749 Vol.
$234,749 Vol.
2026/10/04
Ciro Gomes
$109,216 Vol.
57%
Elmano de Freitas
$54,653 Vol.
42%
Eduardo Girão
$18,393 Vol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$18,039 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$18,024 Vol.
<1%
カミロ・サンタナ
$16,424 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling has positioned Ciro Gomes (PSDB) as the frontrunner for Ceará governor, with leads of 9–13 points in first-round scenarios and stronger advantages in runoff simulations against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT), though margins have narrowed since August amid rising undecided voters and the start of free electoral airtime. Ciro’s alliance with the PL and selection of Roberto Cláudio as running mate have consolidated opposition support, while Elmano draws backing from Lula and former governor Camilo Santana. Ongoing debates have centered on public safety, employment, and state management, with both candidates emphasizing distinct approaches to violence reduction and economic growth ahead of the October 4 first round. Minor candidates remain far behind in surveys, leaving the contest effectively between the two main contenders.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
音量
$234,749終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling has positioned Ciro Gomes (PSDB) as the frontrunner for Ceará governor, with leads of 9–13 points in first-round scenarios and stronger advantages in runoff simulations against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT), though margins have narrowed since August amid rising undecided voters and the start of free electoral airtime. Ciro’s alliance with the PL and selection of Roberto Cláudio as running mate have consolidated opposition support, while Elmano draws backing from Lula and former governor Camilo Santana. Ongoing debates have centered on public safety, employment, and state management, with both candidates emphasizing distinct approaches to violence reduction and economic growth ahead of the October 4 first round. Minor candidates remain far behind in surveys, leaving the contest effectively between the two main contenders.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$234,749終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling has positioned Ciro Gomes (PSDB) as the frontrunner for Ceará governor, with leads of 9–13 points in first-round scenarios and stronger advantages in runoff simulations against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT), though margins have narrowed since August amid rising undecided voters and the start of free electoral airtime. Ciro’s alliance with the PL and selection of Roberto Cláudio as running mate have consolidated opposition support, while Elmano draws backing from Lula and former governor Camilo Santana. Ongoing debates have centered on public safety, employment, and state management, with both candidates emphasizing distinct approaches to violence reduction and economic growth ahead of the October 4 first round. Minor candidates remain far behind in surveys, leaving the contest effectively between the two main contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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