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icon for メクレンブルク=フォアポンメルン州議会選挙の勝者

メクレンブルク=フォアポンメルン州議会選挙の勝者

icon for メクレンブルク=フォアポンメルン州議会選挙の勝者

メクレンブルク=フォアポンメルン州議会選挙の勝者

AfD 85%

SPD 16%

リンクェ <1%

FW <1%

Polymarket

$456,250 Vol.

AfD 85%

SPD 16%

リンクェ <1%

FW <1%

Polymarket

$456,250 Vol.

icon for AfD

AfD

$80,021 Vol.

85%

icon for SPD

SPD

$96,548 Vol.

16%

icon for リンクェ

リンクェ

$27,668 Vol.

<1%

icon for FW

FW

$36,709 Vol.

<1%

icon for CDU

CDU

$44,445 Vol.

<1%

icon for グリューネ

グリューネ

$71,444 Vol.

<1%

icon for FDP

FDP

$77,089 Vol.

<1%

icon for BSW

BSW

$22,326 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a consistent lead in recent polling for the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, placing it well ahead of the incumbent SPD and other parties as the likely largest faction. Surveys from INSA and Infratest dimap through mid-August show AfD support near 36 percent, roughly seven points above the SPD, with CDU, Linke, and smaller groups trailing further behind. This gap stems from sustained regional trends in eastern Germany, where voter shifts have favored the AfD amid declining popularity for the SPD-Left coalition government led by Minister-President Manuela Schwesig. Traders price AfD as the clear favorite to secure the most seats, while low odds on other parties reflect limited prospects for any rival to overtake it before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
音量
$456,250
終了日
2026/09/20
マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a consistent lead in recent polling for the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, placing it well ahead of the incumbent SPD and other parties as the likely largest faction. Surveys from INSA and Infratest dimap through mid-August show AfD support near 36 percent, roughly seven points above the SPD, with CDU, Linke, and smaller groups trailing further behind. This gap stems from sustained regional trends in eastern Germany, where voter shifts have favored the AfD amid declining popularity for the SPD-Left coalition government led by Minister-President Manuela Schwesig. Traders price AfD as the clear favorite to secure the most seats, while low odds on other parties reflect limited prospects for any rival to overtake it before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
音量
$456,250
終了日
2026/09/20
マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).

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よくある質問

「メクレンブルク=フォアポンメルン州議会選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「AfD」で85%、次いで「SPD」が16%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、85¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に85%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「メクレンブルク=フォアポンメルン州議会選挙の勝者」は$456.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Feb 11, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「メクレンブルク=フォアポンメルン州議会選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「メクレンブルク=フォアポンメルン州議会選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「AfD」で85%であり、市場がこの結果に85%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「SPD」で16%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「メクレンブルク=フォアポンメルン州議会選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。