Skip to main content
icon for 次期ネルソン・マンデラ・ベイ市長（ポート・エリザベス） ？
政治·南アフリカ

次期ネルソン・マンデラ・ベイ市長（ポート・エリザベス） ？

icon for 次期ネルソン・マンデラ・ベイ市長（ポート・エリザベス） ？
政治·南アフリカ

次期ネルソン・マンデラ・ベイ市長（ポート・エリザベス） ？

ババルワ・ロビシェ 46%

アンドィレ・ルンギサ 46%

ブレルワ・マファヤ 46%

シヴァ・ピレイ 46%

Polymarket
新規

ババルワ・ロビシェ 46%

アンドィレ・ルンギサ 46%

ブレルワ・マファヤ 46%

シヴァ・ピレイ 46%

Polymarket
新規
icon for ババルワ・ロビシェ

ババルワ・ロビシェ

$0 Vol.

46%

icon for アンドィレ・ルンギサ

アンドィレ・ルンギサ

$0 Vol.

46%

icon for ブレルワ・マファヤ

ブレルワ・マファヤ

$0 Vol.

46%

icon for シヴァ・ピレイ

シヴァ・ピレイ

$0 Vol.

46%

icon for ワンディシレ・ジケカ

ワンディシレ・ジケカ

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for レティーフ・オデンダール

レティーフ・オデンダール

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for シナウォ・タンボ

シナウォ・タンボ

$21 Vol.

44%

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Nelson Mandela Bay’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Nelson Mandela Bay Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 South African local government elections on 4 November have produced a fragmented contest for Nelson Mandela Bay mayor, with no party or individual holding a clear edge in trader pricing. The Democratic Alliance has nominated former mayor Retief Odendaal, while the ANC’s internal selection process remains active among current mayor Babalwa Lobishe, Andile Lungisa, Siva Pillay, Wandisile Jikeka and Bulelwa Mafaya; the EFF has put forward Sinawo Thambo. Historical coalition dynamics, recent no-confidence motions against the incumbent, and ongoing voter registration drives keep probabilities compressed. Any final ANC nomination decision, release of ward-level polling, or formal coalition announcements before November could quickly widen spreads among the listed contenders.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Nelson Mandela Bay’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Nelson Mandela Bay Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$21
終了日
2026/11/18
マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:58 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Nelson Mandela Bay’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Nelson Mandela Bay Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Nelson Mandela Bay’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Nelson Mandela Bay Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 South African local government elections on 4 November have produced a fragmented contest for Nelson Mandela Bay mayor, with no party or individual holding a clear edge in trader pricing. The Democratic Alliance has nominated former mayor Retief Odendaal, while the ANC’s internal selection process remains active among current mayor Babalwa Lobishe, Andile Lungisa, Siva Pillay, Wandisile Jikeka and Bulelwa Mafaya; the EFF has put forward Sinawo Thambo. Historical coalition dynamics, recent no-confidence motions against the incumbent, and ongoing voter registration drives keep probabilities compressed. Any final ANC nomination decision, release of ward-level polling, or formal coalition announcements before November could quickly widen spreads among the listed contenders.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Nelson Mandela Bay’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Nelson Mandela Bay Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$21
終了日
2026/11/18
マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:58 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Nelson Mandela Bay’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Nelson Mandela Bay Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

関連

icon for ジョーダン・ヒル＝ルイスはケープタウンの次期市長になるのでしょうか？

ジョーダン・ヒル＝ルイスはケープタウンの次期市長になるのでしょうか？

81%
はい
icon for ハニフ・フーセンは次のイテクウィニ市長になるのでしょうか？

ハニフ・フーセンは次のイテクウィニ市長になるのでしょうか？

46%
はい
icon for Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?

Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?

58%

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「次期ネルソン・マンデラ・ベイ市長（ポート・エリザベス） ？」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ババルワ・ロビシェ」で46%、次いで「アンドィレ・ルンギサ」が46%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、46¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に46%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「次期ネルソン・マンデラ・ベイ市長（ポート・エリザベス） ？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Aug 18, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「次期ネルソン・マンデラ・ベイ市長（ポート・エリザベス） ？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「次期ネルソン・マンデラ・ベイ市長（ポート・エリザベス） ？」の現在のフロントランナーは「ババルワ・ロビシェ」で46%であり、市場がこの結果に46%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「アンドィレ・ルンギサ」で46%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「次期ネルソン・マンデラ・ベイ市長（ポート・エリザベス） ？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。