Fishback entered the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary as a long-shot challenger in a crowded field dominated by U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds and Lt. Gov. Jay Collins. A July Leon County court ruling rejected residency challenges from Collins, keeping Fishback on the August 18 ballot and allowing votes for him to count. Pre-primary polling showed him trailing significantly with minimal support, consistent with trader consensus that his path to the nomination was narrow. The primary occurred one day before the current market date, leaving vote tabulation and any formal concession statement unresolved. Minor candidates in similar races have historically delayed public concession until results are certified or pressure from party leaders mounts, directly influencing short-term concession timelines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/08/18
8月18日
100%
8月19日
100%
8月20日
100%
$802 Vol.
8月18日
$109 Vol.
100%
8月19日
$490 Vol.
100%
8月20日
$203 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback. Fishback entered the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary as a long-shot challenger in a crowded field dominated by U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds and Lt. Gov. Jay Collins. A July Leon County court ruling rejected residency challenges from Collins, keeping Fishback on the August 18 ballot and allowing votes for him to count. Pre-primary polling showed him trailing significantly with minimal support, consistent with trader consensus that his path to the nomination was narrow. The primary occurred one day before the current market date, leaving vote tabulation and any formal concession statement unresolved. Minor candidates in similar races have historically delayed public concession until results are certified or pressure from party leaders mounts, directly influencing short-term concession timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
音量
$802終了日
2026/08/20マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback. Fishback entered the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary as a long-shot challenger in a crowded field dominated by U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds and Lt. Gov. Jay Collins. A July Leon County court ruling rejected residency challenges from Collins, keeping Fishback on the August 18 ballot and allowing votes for him to count. Pre-primary polling showed him trailing significantly with minimal support, consistent with trader consensus that his path to the nomination was narrow. The primary occurred one day before the current market date, leaving vote tabulation and any formal concession statement unresolved. Minor candidates in similar races have historically delayed public concession until results are certified or pressure from party leaders mounts, directly influencing short-term concession timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
音量
$802終了日
2026/08/20マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Fishback entered the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary as a long-shot challenger in a crowded field dominated by U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds and Lt. Gov. Jay Collins. A July Leon County court ruling rejected residency challenges from Collins, keeping Fishback on the August 18 ballot and allowing votes for him to count. Pre-primary polling showed him trailing significantly with minimal support, consistent with trader consensus that his path to the nomination was narrow. The primary occurred one day before the current market date, leaving vote tabulation and any formal concession statement unresolved. Minor candidates in similar races have historically delayed public concession until results are certified or pressure from party leaders mounts, directly influencing short-term concession timelines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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