United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 310–324 seats and benefits from structural advantages in the mixed electoral system, including strong single-member district performance and administrative resources that have delivered consistent majorities in recent regional votes. State-affiliated polling places party support in the mid-to-high 40s percent range, while independent estimates show lower figures amid economic pressures and war-related strains, creating a spread that leaves the precise seat total open. The leading market ranges (325–339 and 340–354) reflect expectations of modest gains or stability rather than sharp shifts, with turnout management, opposition fragmentation, and any late campaign developments serving as the main variables that could consolidate sentiment around one bracket.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日325～339 35%
340–354 23%
310〜324 18.7%
355以上 13%
$185,694 Vol.
$185,694 Vol.
2026/09/19
280未満
3%
280～294
4%
295～309
7%
310〜324
19%
325～339
35%
340–354
23%
355以上
13%
325～339 35%
340–354 23%
310〜324 18.7%
355以上 13%
$185,694 Vol.
$185,694 Vol.
2026/09/19
280未満
$26,808 Vol.
3%
280～294
$16,696 Vol.
4%
295～309
$11,907 Vol.
7%
310〜324
$14,918 Vol.
19%
325～339
$27,806 Vol.
35%
340–354
$48,826 Vol.
23%
355以上
$38,731 Vol.
13%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 310–324 seats and benefits from structural advantages in the mixed electoral system, including strong single-member district performance and administrative resources that have delivered consistent majorities in recent regional votes. State-affiliated polling places party support in the mid-to-high 40s percent range, while independent estimates show lower figures amid economic pressures and war-related strains, creating a spread that leaves the precise seat total open. The leading market ranges (325–339 and 340–354) reflect expectations of modest gains or stability rather than sharp shifts, with turnout management, opposition fragmentation, and any late campaign developments serving as the main variables that could consolidate sentiment around one bracket.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
マーケット開始日： Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
音量
$185,694終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 310–324 seats and benefits from structural advantages in the mixed electoral system, including strong single-member district performance and administrative resources that have delivered consistent majorities in recent regional votes. State-affiliated polling places party support in the mid-to-high 40s percent range, while independent estimates show lower figures amid economic pressures and war-related strains, creating a spread that leaves the precise seat total open. The leading market ranges (325–339 and 340–354) reflect expectations of modest gains or stability rather than sharp shifts, with turnout management, opposition fragmentation, and any late campaign developments serving as the main variables that could consolidate sentiment around one bracket.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
音量
$185,694終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 310–324 seats and benefits from structural advantages in the mixed electoral system, including strong single-member district performance and administrative resources that have delivered consistent majorities in recent regional votes. State-affiliated polling places party support in the mid-to-high 40s percent range, while independent estimates show lower figures amid economic pressures and war-related strains, creating a spread that leaves the precise seat total open. The leading market ranges (325–339 and 340–354) reflect expectations of modest gains or stability rather than sharp shifts, with turnout management, opposition fragmentation, and any late campaign developments serving as the main variables that could consolidate sentiment around one bracket.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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