Berlin's September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election features a fragmented field where recent polling shows CDU, AfD, Grüne, and Linke clustered within a few points of one another near 18-19 percent, with SPD trailing slightly. This tight distribution leaves third place highly uncertain, as small shifts in voter turnout among urban districts, preference flows between left-leaning parties, or AfD mobilization could reorder the ranking. Incumbent CDU-SPD coalition performance on local issues such as energy reliability and housing continues to influence sentiment, while upcoming campaign events and any late polling movements may widen or narrow gaps among the contenders before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日AfD 27%
グリューネ 27%
CDU 19%
リンク 18%
$13,405 Vol.
$13,405 Vol.
2026/09/20
AfD
27%
グリューネ
27%
CDU
19%
リンク
18%
SPD
3%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 27%
グリューネ 27%
CDU 19%
リンク 18%
$13,405 Vol.
$13,405 Vol.
2026/09/20
AfD
$3,355 Vol.
27%
グリューネ
$1,905 Vol.
27%
CDU
$3,061 Vol.
19%
リンク
$2,616 Vol.
18%
SPD
$800 Vol.
3%
FDP
$607 Vol.
<1%
FW
$521 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$540 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Berlin's September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election features a fragmented field where recent polling shows CDU, AfD, Grüne, and Linke clustered within a few points of one another near 18-19 percent, with SPD trailing slightly. This tight distribution leaves third place highly uncertain, as small shifts in voter turnout among urban districts, preference flows between left-leaning parties, or AfD mobilization could reorder the ranking. Incumbent CDU-SPD coalition performance on local issues such as energy reliability and housing continues to influence sentiment, while upcoming campaign events and any late polling movements may widen or narrow gaps among the contenders before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
マーケット開始日： Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
音量
$13,405終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Berlin's September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election features a fragmented field where recent polling shows CDU, AfD, Grüne, and Linke clustered within a few points of one another near 18-19 percent, with SPD trailing slightly. This tight distribution leaves third place highly uncertain, as small shifts in voter turnout among urban districts, preference flows between left-leaning parties, or AfD mobilization could reorder the ranking. Incumbent CDU-SPD coalition performance on local issues such as energy reliability and housing continues to influence sentiment, while upcoming campaign events and any late polling movements may widen or narrow gaps among the contenders before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
音量
$13,405終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Berlin's September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election features a fragmented field where recent polling shows CDU, AfD, Grüne, and Linke clustered within a few points of one another near 18-19 percent, with SPD trailing slightly. This tight distribution leaves third place highly uncertain, as small shifts in voter turnout among urban districts, preference flows between left-leaning parties, or AfD mobilization could reorder the ranking. Incumbent CDU-SPD coalition performance on local issues such as energy reliability and housing continues to influence sentiment, while upcoming campaign events and any late polling movements may widen or narrow gaps among the contenders before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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