AfD leads recent polling by wide margins in the two eastern states voting this month, with support near 40% in Saxony-Anhalt on September 6 and 35-38% in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern on September 20. In both cases the party is positioned to secure the largest share of Landtag seats, and possibly an absolute majority in Saxony-Anhalt if smaller parties fall below the 5% threshold. Berlin’s concurrent vote on September 20 shows AfD gains nationally but remains more competitive given the capital’s distinct electorate. Other parties continue to rule out coalitions with AfD, yet the party’s consistent first-place standing in the eastern contests underpins the market’s strong consensus on exactly two outright seat pluralities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2 74%
1 15.3%
3 12.3%
0 <1%
$110,536 Vol.
$110,536 Vol.
2026/12/31
0
<1%
1
15%
2
74%
3
12%
2 74%
1 15.3%
3 12.3%
0 <1%
$110,536 Vol.
$110,536 Vol.
2026/12/31
0
$13,995 Vol.
<1%
1
$22,474 Vol.
15%
2
$46,787 Vol.
74%
3
$27,281 Vol.
12%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market. AfD leads recent polling by wide margins in the two eastern states voting this month, with support near 40% in Saxony-Anhalt on September 6 and 35-38% in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern on September 20. In both cases the party is positioned to secure the largest share of Landtag seats, and possibly an absolute majority in Saxony-Anhalt if smaller parties fall below the 5% threshold. Berlin’s concurrent vote on September 20 shows AfD gains nationally but remains more competitive given the capital’s distinct electorate. Other parties continue to rule out coalitions with AfD, yet the party’s consistent first-place standing in the eastern contests underpins the market’s strong consensus on exactly two outright seat pluralities.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
マーケット開始日： Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
音量
$110,536終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market. AfD leads recent polling by wide margins in the two eastern states voting this month, with support near 40% in Saxony-Anhalt on September 6 and 35-38% in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern on September 20. In both cases the party is positioned to secure the largest share of Landtag seats, and possibly an absolute majority in Saxony-Anhalt if smaller parties fall below the 5% threshold. Berlin’s concurrent vote on September 20 shows AfD gains nationally but remains more competitive given the capital’s distinct electorate. Other parties continue to rule out coalitions with AfD, yet the party’s consistent first-place standing in the eastern contests underpins the market’s strong consensus on exactly two outright seat pluralities.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
音量
$110,536終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...AfD leads recent polling by wide margins in the two eastern states voting this month, with support near 40% in Saxony-Anhalt on September 6 and 35-38% in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern on September 20. In both cases the party is positioned to secure the largest share of Landtag seats, and possibly an absolute majority in Saxony-Anhalt if smaller parties fall below the 5% threshold. Berlin’s concurrent vote on September 20 shows AfD gains nationally but remains more competitive given the capital’s distinct electorate. Other parties continue to rule out coalitions with AfD, yet the party’s consistent first-place standing in the eastern contests underpins the market’s strong consensus on exactly two outright seat pluralities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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