Recent polling from institutes including Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA places the AfD at 40–43% and the CDU at 22–23% in the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, producing a consistent 17–21 point lead that aligns with the market’s emphasis on a 15–20 point margin. The AfD’s support has remained stable or edged higher in the final weeks, driven by voter concerns over immigration, economic conditions, and dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU–SPD–FDP coalition. Other parties hover near or above the 5% threshold, but these levels primarily affect seat distribution rather than the AfD–CDU vote gap itself. Traders appear to view the current survey range as the most probable outcome given the short time remaining before voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日AfD 15〜20% 56%
AfD 20〜25％ 30%
AfD 25％以上 28%
AfD 10～15% 17%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
AfD 25％以上
28%
AfD 20〜25％
21%
AfD 15〜20%
56%
AfD 10～15%
14%
AfD <10%
2%
その他
1%
AfD 15〜20% 56%
AfD 20〜25％ 30%
AfD 25％以上 28%
AfD 10～15% 17%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
AfD 25％以上
$59 Vol.
28%
AfD 20〜25％
$225 Vol.
21%
AfD 15〜20%
$295 Vol.
56%
AfD 10～15%
$251 Vol.
14%
AfD <10%
$59 Vol.
2%
その他
$507 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling from institutes including Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA places the AfD at 40–43% and the CDU at 22–23% in the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, producing a consistent 17–21 point lead that aligns with the market’s emphasis on a 15–20 point margin. The AfD’s support has remained stable or edged higher in the final weeks, driven by voter concerns over immigration, economic conditions, and dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU–SPD–FDP coalition. Other parties hover near or above the 5% threshold, but these levels primarily affect seat distribution rather than the AfD–CDU vote gap itself. Traders appear to view the current survey range as the most probable outcome given the short time remaining before voting.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
音量
$1,396終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling from institutes including Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA places the AfD at 40–43% and the CDU at 22–23% in the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, producing a consistent 17–21 point lead that aligns with the market’s emphasis on a 15–20 point margin. The AfD’s support has remained stable or edged higher in the final weeks, driven by voter concerns over immigration, economic conditions, and dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU–SPD–FDP coalition. Other parties hover near or above the 5% threshold, but these levels primarily affect seat distribution rather than the AfD–CDU vote gap itself. Traders appear to view the current survey range as the most probable outcome given the short time remaining before voting.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
音量
$1,396終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from institutes including Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA places the AfD at 40–43% and the CDU at 22–23% in the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, producing a consistent 17–21 point lead that aligns with the market’s emphasis on a 15–20 point margin. The AfD’s support has remained stable or edged higher in the final weeks, driven by voter concerns over immigration, economic conditions, and dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU–SPD–FDP coalition. Other parties hover near or above the 5% threshold, but these levels primarily affect seat distribution rather than the AfD–CDU vote gap itself. Traders appear to view the current survey range as the most probable outcome given the short time remaining before voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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