Incumbent mayor Olivia Chow holds a commanding position in the October 26, 2026, Toronto mayoral election after formally declaring her re-election bid in May. Traders price her re-election prospects highest due to her established name recognition, record since the 2023 by-election victory, and consistent leads in recent surveys against declared challengers. City Councillor Brad Bradford, the primary opponent who previously ran in 2023 and now emphasizes public safety through expanded police hiring, registers as the clearest alternative. Late entrant Chris Alexander and lower-profile candidates including former mayor John Tory trail far behind in both polling and market pricing. The race features a large field of over 30 candidates, with procedural factors such as campaign organization and voter turnout in key wards likely to influence final margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Olivia Chow 85%
Brad Bradford 15%
Marco Mendicino 1.0%
John Tory <1%
$131,380 Vol.
$131,380 Vol.
Olivia Chow
85%
Brad Bradford
15%
Marco Mendicino
1%
John Tory
1%
Anthony Furey
<1%
Kevin Clarke
<1%
Ana Bailão
<1%
Michael Ford
<1%
Olivia Chow 85%
Brad Bradford 15%
Marco Mendicino 1.0%
John Tory <1%
$131,380 Vol.
$131,380 Vol.
Olivia Chow
85%
Brad Bradford
15%
Marco Mendicino
1%
John Tory
1%
Anthony Furey
<1%
Kevin Clarke
<1%
Ana Bailão
<1%
Michael Ford
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent mayor Olivia Chow holds a commanding position in the October 26, 2026, Toronto mayoral election after formally declaring her re-election bid in May. Traders price her re-election prospects highest due to her established name recognition, record since the 2023 by-election victory, and consistent leads in recent surveys against declared challengers. City Councillor Brad Bradford, the primary opponent who previously ran in 2023 and now emphasizes public safety through expanded police hiring, registers as the clearest alternative. Late entrant Chris Alexander and lower-profile candidates including former mayor John Tory trail far behind in both polling and market pricing. The race features a large field of over 30 candidates, with procedural factors such as campaign organization and voter turnout in key wards likely to influence final margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問