**The elevated trader consensus around a first-round outright winner in the GA-11 primary stems from the open-seat dynamics following Rep. Barry Loudermilk’s retirement and the pronounced front-runner status of leading candidates in each party’s field.** In the May 19, 2026, Republican primary, early positioning and fundraising favored neurosurgeon John Cowan, though the multi-candidate split ultimately produced no majority and triggered the June 16 runoff. On the Democratic side, Chris Harden secured a clear majority exceeding 70 percent, avoiding a runoff. Georgia’s majority-vote requirement for primary nomination makes outright wins the exception when fields fragment, yet pre-primary polling averages and the district’s consistent partisan patterns supported expectations of decisive results in at least one contest. Scheduled primary and runoff dates concentrated trader attention on vote consolidation and turnout in the northern Atlanta exurbs, reinforcing the implied probability reflected in current pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
95% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
はい
95% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.**The elevated trader consensus around a first-round outright winner in the GA-11 primary stems from the open-seat dynamics following Rep. Barry Loudermilk’s retirement and the pronounced front-runner status of leading candidates in each party’s field.** In the May 19, 2026, Republican primary, early positioning and fundraising favored neurosurgeon John Cowan, though the multi-candidate split ultimately produced no majority and triggered the June 16 runoff. On the Democratic side, Chris Harden secured a clear majority exceeding 70 percent, avoiding a runoff. Georgia’s majority-vote requirement for primary nomination makes outright wins the exception when fields fragment, yet pre-primary polling averages and the district’s consistent partisan patterns supported expectations of decisive results in at least one contest. Scheduled primary and runoff dates concentrated trader attention on vote consolidation and turnout in the northern Atlanta exurbs, reinforcing the implied probability reflected in current pricing.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
音量
$315終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.**The elevated trader consensus around a first-round outright winner in the GA-11 primary stems from the open-seat dynamics following Rep. Barry Loudermilk’s retirement and the pronounced front-runner status of leading candidates in each party’s field.** In the May 19, 2026, Republican primary, early positioning and fundraising favored neurosurgeon John Cowan, though the multi-candidate split ultimately produced no majority and triggered the June 16 runoff. On the Democratic side, Chris Harden secured a clear majority exceeding 70 percent, avoiding a runoff. Georgia’s majority-vote requirement for primary nomination makes outright wins the exception when fields fragment, yet pre-primary polling averages and the district’s consistent partisan patterns supported expectations of decisive results in at least one contest. Scheduled primary and runoff dates concentrated trader attention on vote consolidation and turnout in the northern Atlanta exurbs, reinforcing the implied probability reflected in current pricing.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
音量
$315終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The elevated trader consensus around a first-round outright winner in the GA-11 primary stems from the open-seat dynamics following Rep. Barry Loudermilk’s retirement and the pronounced front-runner status of leading candidates in each party’s field.** In the May 19, 2026, Republican primary, early positioning and fundraising favored neurosurgeon John Cowan, though the multi-candidate split ultimately produced no majority and triggered the June 16 runoff. On the Democratic side, Chris Harden secured a clear majority exceeding 70 percent, avoiding a runoff. Georgia’s majority-vote requirement for primary nomination makes outright wins the exception when fields fragment, yet pre-primary polling averages and the district’s consistent partisan patterns supported expectations of decisive results in at least one contest. Scheduled primary and runoff dates concentrated trader attention on vote consolidation and turnout in the northern Atlanta exurbs, reinforcing the implied probability reflected in current pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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