The special election to fill the vacancy created by Rep. David Scott’s April 2026 death placed multiple Democratic and Republican candidates on a single July 28 ballot under Georgia’s majority-vote rule. Trader consensus priced a strong probability of an outright first-round winner because of Marcye Scott’s name recognition as the late incumbent’s daughter, limited Republican opposition, and expectations of consolidated support in the heavily Democratic Atlanta-area district. Low-turnout dynamics and vote fragmentation among several Democrats ultimately produced no majority, advancing Scott and Everton Blair to the August 25 runoff instead. Pre-election positioning reflected the wisdom of crowds assessing these structural factors and historical special-election patterns in safe seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
94% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
はい
94% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.The special election to fill the vacancy created by Rep. David Scott’s April 2026 death placed multiple Democratic and Republican candidates on a single July 28 ballot under Georgia’s majority-vote rule. Trader consensus priced a strong probability of an outright first-round winner because of Marcye Scott’s name recognition as the late incumbent’s daughter, limited Republican opposition, and expectations of consolidated support in the heavily Democratic Atlanta-area district. Low-turnout dynamics and vote fragmentation among several Democrats ultimately produced no majority, advancing Scott and Everton Blair to the August 25 runoff instead. Pre-election positioning reflected the wisdom of crowds assessing these structural factors and historical special-election patterns in safe seats.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
音量
$377終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.The special election to fill the vacancy created by Rep. David Scott’s April 2026 death placed multiple Democratic and Republican candidates on a single July 28 ballot under Georgia’s majority-vote rule. Trader consensus priced a strong probability of an outright first-round winner because of Marcye Scott’s name recognition as the late incumbent’s daughter, limited Republican opposition, and expectations of consolidated support in the heavily Democratic Atlanta-area district. Low-turnout dynamics and vote fragmentation among several Democrats ultimately produced no majority, advancing Scott and Everton Blair to the August 25 runoff instead. Pre-election positioning reflected the wisdom of crowds assessing these structural factors and historical special-election patterns in safe seats.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
音量
$377終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The special election to fill the vacancy created by Rep. David Scott’s April 2026 death placed multiple Democratic and Republican candidates on a single July 28 ballot under Georgia’s majority-vote rule. Trader consensus priced a strong probability of an outright first-round winner because of Marcye Scott’s name recognition as the late incumbent’s daughter, limited Republican opposition, and expectations of consolidated support in the heavily Democratic Atlanta-area district. Low-turnout dynamics and vote fragmentation among several Democrats ultimately produced no majority, advancing Scott and Everton Blair to the August 25 runoff instead. Pre-election positioning reflected the wisdom of crowds assessing these structural factors and historical special-election patterns in safe seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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