Rick Allen secured the Republican nomination for Georgia's 12th congressional district in the May 19, 2026 primary after defeating his only challenger. The solidly Republican district (R+7 partisan voting index) features a limited Democratic field ahead of the November 3 general election. Under Georgia rules, an outright winner requires a majority of votes cast; the district's partisan composition and Allen's prior general-election margins above 60 percent make a first-round majority the consensus outcome among traders. No recent polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or turnout factors have emerged to suggest a competitive split that would trigger a runoff between the top two finishers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
96% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
はい
96% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.Rick Allen secured the Republican nomination for Georgia's 12th congressional district in the May 19, 2026 primary after defeating his only challenger. The solidly Republican district (R+7 partisan voting index) features a limited Democratic field ahead of the November 3 general election. Under Georgia rules, an outright winner requires a majority of votes cast; the district's partisan composition and Allen's prior general-election margins above 60 percent make a first-round majority the consensus outcome among traders. No recent polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or turnout factors have emerged to suggest a competitive split that would trigger a runoff between the top two finishers.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
音量
$237終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.Rick Allen secured the Republican nomination for Georgia's 12th congressional district in the May 19, 2026 primary after defeating his only challenger. The solidly Republican district (R+7 partisan voting index) features a limited Democratic field ahead of the November 3 general election. Under Georgia rules, an outright winner requires a majority of votes cast; the district's partisan composition and Allen's prior general-election margins above 60 percent make a first-round majority the consensus outcome among traders. No recent polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or turnout factors have emerged to suggest a competitive split that would trigger a runoff between the top two finishers.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.
音量
$237終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Rick Allen secured the Republican nomination for Georgia's 12th congressional district in the May 19, 2026 primary after defeating his only challenger. The solidly Republican district (R+7 partisan voting index) features a limited Democratic field ahead of the November 3 general election. Under Georgia rules, an outright winner requires a majority of votes cast; the district's partisan composition and Allen's prior general-election margins above 60 percent make a first-round majority the consensus outcome among traders. No recent polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or turnout factors have emerged to suggest a competitive split that would trigger a runoff between the top two finishers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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