**Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination outright in the May 19, 2026, Georgia primary for the 4th Congressional District, defeating challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman without triggering a runoff under state rules requiring a majority.** Republican James Duffie likewise advanced as the GOP nominee from the same primary date. These results reflect the district's strong Democratic lean and limited intra-party competition, producing clear first-round majorities that align with the 78% trader consensus for an outright winner. No subsequent developments have altered the primary outcomes or introduced runoff scenarios before the November 3 general election matchup.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
80% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
はい
80% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-04 House election.**Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination outright in the May 19, 2026, Georgia primary for the 4th Congressional District, defeating challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman without triggering a runoff under state rules requiring a majority.** Republican James Duffie likewise advanced as the GOP nominee from the same primary date. These results reflect the district's strong Democratic lean and limited intra-party competition, producing clear first-round majorities that align with the 78% trader consensus for an outright winner. No subsequent developments have altered the primary outcomes or introduced runoff scenarios before the November 3 general election matchup.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-04 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-04 House election.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ET
音量
$20終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-04 House election.**Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination outright in the May 19, 2026, Georgia primary for the 4th Congressional District, defeating challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman without triggering a runoff under state rules requiring a majority.** Republican James Duffie likewise advanced as the GOP nominee from the same primary date. These results reflect the district's strong Democratic lean and limited intra-party competition, producing clear first-round majorities that align with the 78% trader consensus for an outright winner. No subsequent developments have altered the primary outcomes or introduced runoff scenarios before the November 3 general election matchup.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-04 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-04 House election.
音量
$20終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination outright in the May 19, 2026, Georgia primary for the 4th Congressional District, defeating challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman without triggering a runoff under state rules requiring a majority.** Republican James Duffie likewise advanced as the GOP nominee from the same primary date. These results reflect the district's strong Democratic lean and limited intra-party competition, producing clear first-round majorities that align with the 78% trader consensus for an outright winner. No subsequent developments have altered the primary outcomes or introduced runoff scenarios before the November 3 general election matchup.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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