Eduardo Paes maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to his high name recognition as the outgoing mayor, consistent polling advantages, and PSD party backing after resigning his post in March 2026 to enter the contest. Traders price his victory at 96.5% ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, reflecting broad centrist appeal and the fragmented field of lower-profile challengers including Douglas Ruas and others. Recent conventions have formalized his candidacy without major disruptions, while the prior governor’s resignation created an open race favoring established figures. Late-breaking scandals, health developments, or unexpected opposition consolidation could still shift probabilities before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エドゥアルド・パエス 96.5%
ダグラス・ルアス 1.2%
アントニー・ガロチーニョ <1%
ラファ・ルス <1%
$325,136 Vol.
$325,136 Vol.
2026/10/04
エドゥアルド・パエス
97%
ダグラス・ルアス
1%
アントニー・ガロチーニョ
1%
ラファ・ルス
1%
リンドバーグ・ファリアス
<1%
ブスネロ大佐
<1%
ウィルソン・ウィッツェル
<1%
フェリペ・クリ
<1%
シコ・マシャード
<1%
フレッド・パシェコ
<1%
アンドレ・セシリアーノ
<1%
タルシージオ・モッタ
<1%
ルイジーニョ博士
<1%
エドゥアルド・パズエロ
<1%
ニコラ・ミッチョーネ
<1%
アンドレ・ポルトゥゲス
<1%
エドゥアルド・パエス 96.5%
ダグラス・ルアス 1.2%
アントニー・ガロチーニョ <1%
ラファ・ルス <1%
$325,136 Vol.
$325,136 Vol.
2026/10/04
エドゥアルド・パエス
$47,825 Vol.
97%
ダグラス・ルアス
$13,030 Vol.
1%
アントニー・ガロチーニョ
$15,333 Vol.
1%
ラファ・ルス
$6,672 Vol.
1%
リンドバーグ・ファリアス
$10,049 Vol.
<1%
ブスネロ大佐
$10,134 Vol.
<1%
ウィルソン・ウィッツェル
$12,807 Vol.
<1%
フェリペ・クリ
$19,051 Vol.
<1%
シコ・マシャード
$9,843 Vol.
<1%
フレッド・パシェコ
$134,487 Vol.
<1%
アンドレ・セシリアーノ
$12,315 Vol.
<1%
タルシージオ・モッタ
$11,578 Vol.
<1%
ルイジーニョ博士
$10,219 Vol.
<1%
エドゥアルド・パズエロ
$2,717 Vol.
<1%
ニコラ・ミッチョーネ
$5,387 Vol.
<1%
アンドレ・ポルトゥゲス
$3,688 Vol.
<1%
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to his high name recognition as the outgoing mayor, consistent polling advantages, and PSD party backing after resigning his post in March 2026 to enter the contest. Traders price his victory at 96.5% ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, reflecting broad centrist appeal and the fragmented field of lower-profile challengers including Douglas Ruas and others. Recent conventions have formalized his candidacy without major disruptions, while the prior governor’s resignation created an open race favoring established figures. Late-breaking scandals, health developments, or unexpected opposition consolidation could still shift probabilities before election day.
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
音量
$325,136終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to his high name recognition as the outgoing mayor, consistent polling advantages, and PSD party backing after resigning his post in March 2026 to enter the contest. Traders price his victory at 96.5% ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, reflecting broad centrist appeal and the fragmented field of lower-profile challengers including Douglas Ruas and others. Recent conventions have formalized his candidacy without major disruptions, while the prior governor’s resignation created an open race favoring established figures. Late-breaking scandals, health developments, or unexpected opposition consolidation could still shift probabilities before election day.
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$325,136終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Paes maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to his high name recognition as the outgoing mayor, consistent polling advantages, and PSD party backing after resigning his post in March 2026 to enter the contest. Traders price his victory at 96.5% ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, reflecting broad centrist appeal and the fragmented field of lower-profile challengers including Douglas Ruas and others. Recent conventions have formalized his candidacy without major disruptions, while the prior governor’s resignation created an open race favoring established figures. Late-breaking scandals, health developments, or unexpected opposition consolidation could still shift probabilities before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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