Eduardo Paes maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to his high name recognition as the outgoing mayor, consistent polling advantages, and PSD party backing after resigning his post in March 2026 to enter the contest. Traders price his victory at 96.5% ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, reflecting broad centrist appeal and the fragmented field of lower-profile challengers including Douglas Ruas and others. Recent conventions have formalized his candidacy without major disruptions, while the prior governor’s resignation created an open race favoring established figures. Late-breaking scandals, health developments, or unexpected opposition consolidation could still shift probabilities before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エドゥアルド・パエス 96.5%
ダグラス・ルアス 1.2%
アントニー・ガロチーニョ <1%
ラファ・ルス <1%
$325,136 Vol.
$325,136 Vol.

エドゥアルド・パエス
97%

ダグラス・ルアス
1%

アントニー・ガロチーニョ
1%

ラファ・ルス
1%

リンドバーグ・ファリアス
<1%

ブスネロ大佐
<1%

ウィルソン・ウィッツェル
<1%

フェリペ・クリ
<1%

シコ・マシャード
<1%

フレッド・パシェコ
<1%

アンドレ・セシリアーノ
<1%

タルシージオ・モッタ
<1%

ルイジーニョ博士
<1%

エドゥアルド・パズエロ
<1%

ニコラ・ミッチョーネ
<1%

アンドレ・ポルトゥゲス
<1%
エドゥアルド・パエス 96.5%
ダグラス・ルアス 1.2%
アントニー・ガロチーニョ <1%
ラファ・ルス <1%
$325,136 Vol.
$325,136 Vol.

エドゥアルド・パエス
97%

ダグラス・ルアス
1%

アントニー・ガロチーニョ
1%

ラファ・ルス
1%

リンドバーグ・ファリアス
<1%

ブスネロ大佐
<1%

ウィルソン・ウィッツェル
<1%

フェリペ・クリ
<1%

シコ・マシャード
<1%

フレッド・パシェコ
<1%

アンドレ・セシリアーノ
<1%

タルシージオ・モッタ
<1%

ルイジーニョ博士
<1%

エドゥアルド・パズエロ
<1%

ニコラ・ミッチョーネ
<1%

アンドレ・ポルトゥゲス
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日: Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Paes maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to his high name recognition as the outgoing mayor, consistent polling advantages, and PSD party backing after resigning his post in March 2026 to enter the contest. Traders price his victory at 96.5% ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, reflecting broad centrist appeal and the fragmented field of lower-profile challengers including Douglas Ruas and others. Recent conventions have formalized his candidacy without major disruptions, while the prior governor’s resignation created an open race favoring established figures. Late-breaking scandals, health developments, or unexpected opposition consolidation could still shift probabilities before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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