Eduardo Paes maintains a commanding position in the Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to his high name recognition and sustained polling advantage as the outgoing mayor who resigned in March 2026 to seek the state executive under the PSD. With the first-round vote set for October 4, 2026, traders reflect broad consensus around his path to victory amid a fragmented field that includes Douglas Ruas of the PL and other lower-profile contenders. Recent surveys have shown Paes well ahead, consistent with historical patterns favoring established executives in Brazilian state contests. Factors that could still shift odds include late-breaking scandals, unexpected shifts in voter turnout among key blocs, or stronger-than-expected opposition coordination in the final weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エドゥアルド・パエス 96.5%
ダグラス・ルアス 1.4%
アントニー・ガロチーニョ <1%
ラファ・ルス <1%
$325,136 Vol.
$325,136 Vol.
エドゥアルド・パエス
97%
ダグラス・ルアス
1%
アントニー・ガロチーニョ
1%
ラファ・ルス
1%
リンドバーグ・ファリアス
<1%
ブスネロ大佐
<1%
ウィルソン・ウィッツェル
<1%
フェリペ・クリ
<1%
シコ・マシャード
<1%
フレッド・パシェコ
<1%
アンドレ・セシリアーノ
<1%
タルシージオ・モッタ
<1%
ルイジーニョ博士
<1%
エドゥアルド・パズエロ
<1%
ニコラ・ミッチョーネ
<1%
アンドレ・ポルトゥゲス
<1%
エドゥアルド・パエス 96.5%
ダグラス・ルアス 1.4%
アントニー・ガロチーニョ <1%
ラファ・ルス <1%
$325,136 Vol.
$325,136 Vol.
エドゥアルド・パエス
97%
ダグラス・ルアス
1%
アントニー・ガロチーニョ
1%
ラファ・ルス
1%
リンドバーグ・ファリアス
<1%
ブスネロ大佐
<1%
ウィルソン・ウィッツェル
<1%
フェリペ・クリ
<1%
シコ・マシャード
<1%
フレッド・パシェコ
<1%
アンドレ・セシリアーノ
<1%
タルシージオ・モッタ
<1%
ルイジーニョ博士
<1%
エドゥアルド・パズエロ
<1%
ニコラ・ミッチョーネ
<1%
アンドレ・ポルトゥゲス
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Paes maintains a commanding position in the Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to his high name recognition and sustained polling advantage as the outgoing mayor who resigned in March 2026 to seek the state executive under the PSD. With the first-round vote set for October 4, 2026, traders reflect broad consensus around his path to victory amid a fragmented field that includes Douglas Ruas of the PL and other lower-profile contenders. Recent surveys have shown Paes well ahead, consistent with historical patterns favoring established executives in Brazilian state contests. Factors that could still shift odds include late-breaking scandals, unexpected shifts in voter turnout among key blocs, or stronger-than-expected opposition coordination in the final weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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