Luciano Zucco of the Liberal Party holds the leading position in the October 4, 2026, first-round contest for Rio Grande do Sul governor, an open race created by term limits on incumbent Eduardo Leite of the PSD. Traders assign Zucco a 61% chance of victory, ahead of PDT candidate Juliana Brizola at 35.5%, with MDB's Gabriel Souza and smaller contenders trailing far behind. This positioning stems from Zucco's profile as a federal deputy aligned with conservative coalitions, early polling volatility that has shown technical ties or narrow leads in both directions, and the broader national polarization shaping state-level alignments. Brizola benefits from left-leaning support and running-mate dynamics, yet market pricing reflects Zucco's edge in coalition-building and name recognition heading into the campaign's final stretch.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Luciano Zucco 61%
Juliana Brizola 36%
Gabriel Souza 4.0%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
$91,095 Vol.
$91,095 Vol.
2026/10/03
Luciano Zucco
61%
Juliana Brizola
36%
Gabriel Souza
4%
Marcelo Maranata
<1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
<1%
Luciano Zucco 61%
Juliana Brizola 36%
Gabriel Souza 4.0%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
$91,095 Vol.
$91,095 Vol.
2026/10/03
Luciano Zucco
$40,147 Vol.
61%
Juliana Brizola
$32,459 Vol.
36%
Gabriel Souza
$9,514 Vol.
4%
Marcelo Maranata
$6,524 Vol.
<1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
$2,452 Vol.
<1%
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Luciano Zucco of the Liberal Party holds the leading position in the October 4, 2026, first-round contest for Rio Grande do Sul governor, an open race created by term limits on incumbent Eduardo Leite of the PSD. Traders assign Zucco a 61% chance of victory, ahead of PDT candidate Juliana Brizola at 35.5%, with MDB's Gabriel Souza and smaller contenders trailing far behind. This positioning stems from Zucco's profile as a federal deputy aligned with conservative coalitions, early polling volatility that has shown technical ties or narrow leads in both directions, and the broader national polarization shaping state-level alignments. Brizola benefits from left-leaning support and running-mate dynamics, yet market pricing reflects Zucco's edge in coalition-building and name recognition heading into the campaign's final stretch.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
音量
$91,095終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Luciano Zucco of the Liberal Party holds the leading position in the October 4, 2026, first-round contest for Rio Grande do Sul governor, an open race created by term limits on incumbent Eduardo Leite of the PSD. Traders assign Zucco a 61% chance of victory, ahead of PDT candidate Juliana Brizola at 35.5%, with MDB's Gabriel Souza and smaller contenders trailing far behind. This positioning stems from Zucco's profile as a federal deputy aligned with conservative coalitions, early polling volatility that has shown technical ties or narrow leads in both directions, and the broader national polarization shaping state-level alignments. Brizola benefits from left-leaning support and running-mate dynamics, yet market pricing reflects Zucco's edge in coalition-building and name recognition heading into the campaign's final stretch.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$91,095終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Luciano Zucco of the Liberal Party holds the leading position in the October 4, 2026, first-round contest for Rio Grande do Sul governor, an open race created by term limits on incumbent Eduardo Leite of the PSD. Traders assign Zucco a 61% chance of victory, ahead of PDT candidate Juliana Brizola at 35.5%, with MDB's Gabriel Souza and smaller contenders trailing far behind. This positioning stems from Zucco's profile as a federal deputy aligned with conservative coalitions, early polling volatility that has shown technical ties or narrow leads in both directions, and the broader national polarization shaping state-level alignments. Brizola benefits from left-leaning support and running-mate dynamics, yet market pricing reflects Zucco's edge in coalition-building and name recognition heading into the campaign's final stretch.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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