In Amapá's 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two representatives, trader consensus favors incumbent Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) for second place amid a fragmented field that includes Rayssa Furlan (Podemos), Lucas Barreto (PSD), Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), Acácio Favacho (MDB), and others. Recent July-August polling shows Furlan leading comfortably while Rodrigues and Barreto remain statistically tied for the remaining slot, reflecting local coalition arrangements, incumbency advantages, and party alliances tied to the state governor's race. Official candidacies launched in July, alongside ongoing campaign events, have sustained this closeness without decisive shifts. Scheduled voting on October 4 leaves room for late polling movement, turnout variations, or endorsements to reorder the lower positions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ランドルフェ 53%
ジュイザ・ジョー 13.9%
ルーカス・バヘト 13%
エリオ・シルバ 10.9%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
ランドルフェ
53%
ジュイザ・ジョー
14%
ルーカス・バヘト
21%
エリオ・シルバ
11%
カピ
8%
アカシオ・ファヴァショ
8%
アリニー・セラオン
7%
ウジアン・ピント教授
7%
レイッサ・フルラン
3%
ランドルフェ 53%
ジュイザ・ジョー 13.9%
ルーカス・バヘト 13%
エリオ・シルバ 10.9%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
ランドルフェ
$1,527 Vol.
53%
ジュイザ・ジョー
$90 Vol.
14%
ルーカス・バヘト
$187 Vol.
21%
エリオ・シルバ
$90 Vol.
11%
カピ
$152 Vol.
8%
アカシオ・ファヴァショ
$90 Vol.
8%
アリニー・セラオン
$221 Vol.
7%
ウジアン・ピント教授
$361 Vol.
7%
レイッサ・フルラン
$90 Vol.
3%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Amapá's 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two representatives, trader consensus favors incumbent Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) for second place amid a fragmented field that includes Rayssa Furlan (Podemos), Lucas Barreto (PSD), Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), Acácio Favacho (MDB), and others. Recent July-August polling shows Furlan leading comfortably while Rodrigues and Barreto remain statistically tied for the remaining slot, reflecting local coalition arrangements, incumbency advantages, and party alliances tied to the state governor's race. Official candidacies launched in July, alongside ongoing campaign events, have sustained this closeness without decisive shifts. Scheduled voting on October 4 leaves room for late polling movement, turnout variations, or endorsements to reorder the lower positions.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
音量
$2,808終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Amapá's 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two representatives, trader consensus favors incumbent Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) for second place amid a fragmented field that includes Rayssa Furlan (Podemos), Lucas Barreto (PSD), Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), Acácio Favacho (MDB), and others. Recent July-August polling shows Furlan leading comfortably while Rodrigues and Barreto remain statistically tied for the remaining slot, reflecting local coalition arrangements, incumbency advantages, and party alliances tied to the state governor's race. Official candidacies launched in July, alongside ongoing campaign events, have sustained this closeness without decisive shifts. Scheduled voting on October 4 leaves room for late polling movement, turnout variations, or endorsements to reorder the lower positions.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$2,808終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Amapá's 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two representatives, trader consensus favors incumbent Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) for second place amid a fragmented field that includes Rayssa Furlan (Podemos), Lucas Barreto (PSD), Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), Acácio Favacho (MDB), and others. Recent July-August polling shows Furlan leading comfortably while Rodrigues and Barreto remain statistically tied for the remaining slot, reflecting local coalition arrangements, incumbency advantages, and party alliances tied to the state governor's race. Official candidacies launched in July, alongside ongoing campaign events, have sustained this closeness without decisive shifts. Scheduled voting on October 4 leaves room for late polling movement, turnout variations, or endorsements to reorder the lower positions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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