Delegado Éder Mauro holds the clearest position for second place in the Pará Senate race, backed by recent Genial/Quaest polling that places him at 14-15% behind Helder Barbalho (MDB) at 21-23%, with Zequinha Marinho and other contenders clustered lower and within or near the margin of error. Traders price Mauro at 62.5% implied probability for the runner-up spot because state surveys consistently rank him ahead of the broader field in multiple scenarios, reflecting his established name recognition as a federal deputy and PL standard-bearer. Lower-priced alternatives such as Marinho (16%) and Helder (9% for second) reflect narrower paths to overtaking Mauro before candidate registration closes and the October general election. No major shifts in polling or candidate positioning have altered this ordering in the past several weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日デレガード・エデル・マウロ 63%
ゼキーニャ・マリーニョ 15%
セルソ・サビーノ 12%
エルデル 11%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
デレガード・エデル・マウロ
63%
ゼキーニャ・マリーニョ
16%
セルソ・サビーノ
12%
エルデル
11%
ブレノ・ギマランイス
7%
ウィレム・ダ・シルバ
7%
コンティ
4%
ジゼリ・フレイタス
4%
エドレイネ・ロドリゲス
3%
フェルナンダ・ロペス
7%
シカン
2%
デレガード・エデル・マウロ 63%
ゼキーニャ・マリーニョ 15%
セルソ・サビーノ 12%
エルデル 11%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
デレガード・エデル・マウロ
$1,421 Vol.
63%
ゼキーニャ・マリーニョ
$144 Vol.
16%
セルソ・サビーノ
$102 Vol.
12%
エルデル
$147 Vol.
11%
ブレノ・ギマランイス
$114 Vol.
7%
ウィレム・ダ・シルバ
$102 Vol.
7%
コンティ
$168 Vol.
4%
ジゼリ・フレイタス
$182 Vol.
4%
エドレイネ・ロドリゲス
$102 Vol.
3%
フェルナンダ・ロペス
$132 Vol.
7%
シカン
$118 Vol.
2%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Delegado Éder Mauro holds the clearest position for second place in the Pará Senate race, backed by recent Genial/Quaest polling that places him at 14-15% behind Helder Barbalho (MDB) at 21-23%, with Zequinha Marinho and other contenders clustered lower and within or near the margin of error. Traders price Mauro at 62.5% implied probability for the runner-up spot because state surveys consistently rank him ahead of the broader field in multiple scenarios, reflecting his established name recognition as a federal deputy and PL standard-bearer. Lower-priced alternatives such as Marinho (16%) and Helder (9% for second) reflect narrower paths to overtaking Mauro before candidate registration closes and the October general election. No major shifts in polling or candidate positioning have altered this ordering in the past several weeks.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
音量
$2,733終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Delegado Éder Mauro holds the clearest position for second place in the Pará Senate race, backed by recent Genial/Quaest polling that places him at 14-15% behind Helder Barbalho (MDB) at 21-23%, with Zequinha Marinho and other contenders clustered lower and within or near the margin of error. Traders price Mauro at 62.5% implied probability for the runner-up spot because state surveys consistently rank him ahead of the broader field in multiple scenarios, reflecting his established name recognition as a federal deputy and PL standard-bearer. Lower-priced alternatives such as Marinho (16%) and Helder (9% for second) reflect narrower paths to overtaking Mauro before candidate registration closes and the October general election. No major shifts in polling or candidate positioning have altered this ordering in the past several weeks.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$2,733終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Delegado Éder Mauro holds the clearest position for second place in the Pará Senate race, backed by recent Genial/Quaest polling that places him at 14-15% behind Helder Barbalho (MDB) at 21-23%, with Zequinha Marinho and other contenders clustered lower and within or near the margin of error. Traders price Mauro at 62.5% implied probability for the runner-up spot because state surveys consistently rank him ahead of the broader field in multiple scenarios, reflecting his established name recognition as a federal deputy and PL standard-bearer. Lower-priced alternatives such as Marinho (16%) and Helder (9% for second) reflect narrower paths to overtaking Mauro before candidate registration closes and the October general election. No major shifts in polling or candidate positioning have altered this ordering in the past several weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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