Renato Casagrande (PSB) holds the strongest position in the October 2026 Espírito Santo Senate race for first place, driven by his high statewide name recognition as outgoing governor and established party infrastructure. July 2026 surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data show him at 24–31 percent, far ahead of trailing contenders including Fabiano Contarato, Marcos do Val, Rose de Freitas, Evair de Melo, and others who register in the low single digits amid 70 percent-plus undecided or spontaneous responses. Traders have priced this polling edge and structural advantages into the 83.5 percent consensus for Casagrande, while the fragmented field for second place keeps implied probabilities clustered near 50 percent for most listed candidates. No major new developments have shifted these dynamics in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日レナート・カサグランデ 84%
ファビアーノ・コンタラート 5.1%
エヴァイル・デ・メロ 5.0%
レオナルド・モンジャルジン 4.1%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
レナート・カサグランデ
84%
ファビアーノ・コンタラート
5%
エヴァイル・デ・メロ
5%
レオナルド・モンジャルジン
4%
マギーニャ・マルタ
4%
カレガリ
4%
ローズ・ジ・フレイタス
4%
セルジオ・メネゲリ
4%
ロドニー・ミランダ
4%
マルコス・ド・ヴァル
4%
ファビアン教授
4%
レナート・カサグランデ 84%
ファビアーノ・コンタラート 5.1%
エヴァイル・デ・メロ 5.0%
レオナルド・モンジャルジン 4.1%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
レナート・カサグランデ
$3,525 Vol.
84%
ファビアーノ・コンタラート
$72 Vol.
5%
エヴァイル・デ・メロ
$56 Vol.
5%
レオナルド・モンジャルジン
$56 Vol.
4%
マギーニャ・マルタ
$75 Vol.
4%
カレガリ
$63 Vol.
4%
ローズ・ジ・フレイタス
$56 Vol.
4%
セルジオ・メネゲリ
$76 Vol.
4%
ロドニー・ミランダ
$74 Vol.
4%
マルコス・ド・ヴァル
$75 Vol.
4%
ファビアン教授
$72 Vol.
4%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande (PSB) holds the strongest position in the October 2026 Espírito Santo Senate race for first place, driven by his high statewide name recognition as outgoing governor and established party infrastructure. July 2026 surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data show him at 24–31 percent, far ahead of trailing contenders including Fabiano Contarato, Marcos do Val, Rose de Freitas, Evair de Melo, and others who register in the low single digits amid 70 percent-plus undecided or spontaneous responses. Traders have priced this polling edge and structural advantages into the 83.5 percent consensus for Casagrande, while the fragmented field for second place keeps implied probabilities clustered near 50 percent for most listed candidates. No major new developments have shifted these dynamics in recent weeks.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
音量
$4,201終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande (PSB) holds the strongest position in the October 2026 Espírito Santo Senate race for first place, driven by his high statewide name recognition as outgoing governor and established party infrastructure. July 2026 surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data show him at 24–31 percent, far ahead of trailing contenders including Fabiano Contarato, Marcos do Val, Rose de Freitas, Evair de Melo, and others who register in the low single digits amid 70 percent-plus undecided or spontaneous responses. Traders have priced this polling edge and structural advantages into the 83.5 percent consensus for Casagrande, while the fragmented field for second place keeps implied probabilities clustered near 50 percent for most listed candidates. No major new developments have shifted these dynamics in recent weeks.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$4,201終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Renato Casagrande (PSB) holds the strongest position in the October 2026 Espírito Santo Senate race for first place, driven by his high statewide name recognition as outgoing governor and established party infrastructure. July 2026 surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data show him at 24–31 percent, far ahead of trailing contenders including Fabiano Contarato, Marcos do Val, Rose de Freitas, Evair de Melo, and others who register in the low single digits amid 70 percent-plus undecided or spontaneous responses. Traders have priced this polling edge and structural advantages into the 83.5 percent consensus for Casagrande, while the fragmented field for second place keeps implied probabilities clustered near 50 percent for most listed candidates. No major new developments have shifted these dynamics in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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