Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) holds the strongest position in the race to win the most seats in Latvia’s October 3, 2026 Saeima election, reflecting sustained gains in recent polling that position the center-right alliance ahead of rivals. Traders appear to price in AS’s broad regional and conservative appeal amid fragmentation on both the populist right and left. Suverēnā vara (SV) and Latvija pirmajā vietā (LPV) trail as the next most credible contenders, supported by pockets of Euroskeptic and national-conservative support, though neither has matched AS’s upward trajectory in mid-2026 surveys. Progresīvie (PRO) and smaller parties remain further back, with limited momentum to overtake the leaders. The market’s implied probabilities align with polling trends showing AS consolidating a plurality while the field stays competitive below the 5 percent threshold for seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日AS 54.0%
SV 20.2%
LPV 20%
PRO 6.0%
$189,074 Vol.
$189,074 Vol.
2026/10/02
AS
54%
SV
20%
LPV
20%
PRO
6%
NA
2%
JV
1%
S
<1%
ST！
<1%
ZZS
<1%
AS 54.0%
SV 20.2%
LPV 20%
PRO 6.0%
$189,074 Vol.
$189,074 Vol.
2026/10/02
AS
$31,891 Vol.
54%
SV
$23,854 Vol.
20%
LPV
$22,414 Vol.
20%
PRO
$29,094 Vol.
6%
NA
$8,065 Vol.
2%
JV
$12,404 Vol.
1%
S
$4,710 Vol.
<1%
ST！
$3,404 Vol.
<1%
ZZS
$53,238 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) holds the strongest position in the race to win the most seats in Latvia’s October 3, 2026 Saeima election, reflecting sustained gains in recent polling that position the center-right alliance ahead of rivals. Traders appear to price in AS’s broad regional and conservative appeal amid fragmentation on both the populist right and left. Suverēnā vara (SV) and Latvija pirmajā vietā (LPV) trail as the next most credible contenders, supported by pockets of Euroskeptic and national-conservative support, though neither has matched AS’s upward trajectory in mid-2026 surveys. Progresīvie (PRO) and smaller parties remain further back, with limited momentum to overtake the leaders. The market’s implied probabilities align with polling trends showing AS consolidating a plurality while the field stays competitive below the 5 percent threshold for seats.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
音量
$189,074終了日
2026/10/03マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) holds the strongest position in the race to win the most seats in Latvia’s October 3, 2026 Saeima election, reflecting sustained gains in recent polling that position the center-right alliance ahead of rivals. Traders appear to price in AS’s broad regional and conservative appeal amid fragmentation on both the populist right and left. Suverēnā vara (SV) and Latvija pirmajā vietā (LPV) trail as the next most credible contenders, supported by pockets of Euroskeptic and national-conservative support, though neither has matched AS’s upward trajectory in mid-2026 surveys. Progresīvie (PRO) and smaller parties remain further back, with limited momentum to overtake the leaders. The market’s implied probabilities align with polling trends showing AS consolidating a plurality while the field stays competitive below the 5 percent threshold for seats.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
音量
$189,074終了日
2026/10/03マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) holds the strongest position in the race to win the most seats in Latvia’s October 3, 2026 Saeima election, reflecting sustained gains in recent polling that position the center-right alliance ahead of rivals. Traders appear to price in AS’s broad regional and conservative appeal amid fragmentation on both the populist right and left. Suverēnā vara (SV) and Latvija pirmajā vietā (LPV) trail as the next most credible contenders, supported by pockets of Euroskeptic and national-conservative support, though neither has matched AS’s upward trajectory in mid-2026 surveys. Progresīvie (PRO) and smaller parties remain further back, with limited momentum to overtake the leaders. The market’s implied probabilities align with polling trends showing AS consolidating a plurality while the field stays competitive below the 5 percent threshold for seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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