Recent polling shows the Social Democrats leading at around 31-32%, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 20% and the Moderates at 16-17%, leaving a tight cluster of smaller parties—including the Left, Centre, Greens, and Christian Democrats—each polling between roughly 6% and 8% in the run-up to the September 13 vote. This narrow spread among mid-tier parties creates high uncertainty over exact rankings from fourth place onward, sustaining balanced trader probabilities for any one finishing sixth. Late shifts in turnout, voter migration among opposition or governing blocs, or campaign events could reorder these contenders and alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Christian Democrats (KD) 37%
Green Party (MP) 37%
Liberals (L) 37%
Centre Party (C) 37%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
Christian Democrats (KD)
37%
Green Party (MP)
37%
Liberals (L)
37%
Centre Party (C)
37%
Left Party (V)
37%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
35%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
34%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
33%
Moderate Party (M)
36%
Christian Democrats (KD) 37%
Green Party (MP) 37%
Liberals (L) 37%
Centre Party (C) 37%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
Christian Democrats (KD)
$0 Vol.
37%
Green Party (MP)
$0 Vol.
37%
Liberals (L)
$0 Vol.
37%
Centre Party (C)
$0 Vol.
37%
Left Party (V)
$0 Vol.
37%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$97 Vol.
35%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$77 Vol.
34%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$89 Vol.
33%
Moderate Party (M)
$80 Vol.
36%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling shows the Social Democrats leading at around 31-32%, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 20% and the Moderates at 16-17%, leaving a tight cluster of smaller parties—including the Left, Centre, Greens, and Christian Democrats—each polling between roughly 6% and 8% in the run-up to the September 13 vote. This narrow spread among mid-tier parties creates high uncertainty over exact rankings from fourth place onward, sustaining balanced trader probabilities for any one finishing sixth. Late shifts in turnout, voter migration among opposition or governing blocs, or campaign events could reorder these contenders and alter the outcome.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 5:07 AM ET
音量
$343終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 5:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling shows the Social Democrats leading at around 31-32%, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 20% and the Moderates at 16-17%, leaving a tight cluster of smaller parties—including the Left, Centre, Greens, and Christian Democrats—each polling between roughly 6% and 8% in the run-up to the September 13 vote. This narrow spread among mid-tier parties creates high uncertainty over exact rankings from fourth place onward, sustaining balanced trader probabilities for any one finishing sixth. Late shifts in turnout, voter migration among opposition or governing blocs, or campaign events could reorder these contenders and alter the outcome.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
音量
$343終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 5:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Social Democrats leading at around 31-32%, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 20% and the Moderates at 16-17%, leaving a tight cluster of smaller parties—including the Left, Centre, Greens, and Christian Democrats—each polling between roughly 6% and 8% in the run-up to the September 13 vote. This narrow spread among mid-tier parties creates high uncertainty over exact rankings from fourth place onward, sustaining balanced trader probabilities for any one finishing sixth. Late shifts in turnout, voter migration among opposition or governing blocs, or campaign events could reorder these contenders and alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日関連
Will the Green Party (MP) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
45%
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
38%
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
81%
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