Flavio Bolsonaro’s official announcement on August 5, 2026, naming Liberal Party federal deputy Alfredo Gaspar of Alagoas as his vice-presidential running mate for the October presidential election has driven the market’s decisive pricing. The selection followed unsuccessful efforts to recruit higher-profile figures, including women candidates from allied parties, and produced an all-PL ticket after centrist groups declined broader endorsements. Gaspar’s prior role as rapporteur on a parliamentary inquiry into INSS pension fraud provided limited national visibility within the party base. Trader consensus reflects the finality of the convention-day decision, though late shifts remain theoretically possible if the ticket encounters formal challenges, withdrawal, or unforeseen eligibility issues before balloting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アルフレド・ガスパール 98.4%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ <1%
シモーネ・マルケット <1%
ダニエラ・マルケス <1%
$23,807 Vol.
$23,807 Vol.
アルフレド・ガスパール
98%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
1%
シモーネ・マルケット
<1%
ダニエラ・マルケス
<1%
ジュリア・ザナッタ
<1%
プリシラ・コスタ
<1%
マルコス・ポンテス
<1%
クラリッサ・テルシオ
<1%
テレーザ・クリスチーナ
<1%
ダマレス・アルヴェス
<1%
レナタ・アブレウ
<1%
ジルソン・マシャド
<1%
ビア・キシス
<1%
ロザナ・ヴァレ
<1%
ロジェリオ・マリーニョ
<1%
アルフレド・ガスパール 98.4%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ <1%
シモーネ・マルケット <1%
ダニエラ・マルケス <1%
$23,807 Vol.
$23,807 Vol.
アルフレド・ガスパール
98%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
1%
シモーネ・マルケット
<1%
ダニエラ・マルケス
<1%
ジュリア・ザナッタ
<1%
プリシラ・コスタ
<1%
マルコス・ポンテス
<1%
クラリッサ・テルシオ
<1%
テレーザ・クリスチーナ
<1%
ダマレス・アルヴェス
<1%
レナタ・アブレウ
<1%
ジルソン・マシャド
<1%
ビア・キシス
<1%
ロザナ・ヴァレ
<1%
ロジェリオ・マリーニョ
<1%
An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Flavio Bolsonaro’s official announcement on August 5, 2026, naming Liberal Party federal deputy Alfredo Gaspar of Alagoas as his vice-presidential running mate for the October presidential election has driven the market’s decisive pricing. The selection followed unsuccessful efforts to recruit higher-profile figures, including women candidates from allied parties, and produced an all-PL ticket after centrist groups declined broader endorsements. Gaspar’s prior role as rapporteur on a parliamentary inquiry into INSS pension fraud provided limited national visibility within the party base. Trader consensus reflects the finality of the convention-day decision, though late shifts remain theoretically possible if the ticket encounters formal challenges, withdrawal, or unforeseen eligibility issues before balloting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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