Ricardo Ferraço holds a commanding 91% implied probability in the Espírito Santo governor race as the incumbent who assumed office in April 2026 following the prior governor’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat. Recent polling from Brazilian firms shows Ferraço leading first-round scenarios with support in the mid-30s percent range, backed by MDB alliances and state-level visibility as the sitting executive. This positioning reflects trader consensus on incumbency advantages and momentum from summer surveys that reversed earlier 2025 indications favoring challengers. Lorenzo Pazolini and other contenders trail significantly on the platform, though late consolidation among opposition figures or shifts in voter turnout ahead of the October vote could still alter outcomes in a multi-candidate field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日リカルド・フェラッソ 91%
ロレンゾ・パゾリーニ 7%
アルナルジーニョ・ボルゴ <1%
セルジオ・ヴィジガル <1%
$18,653 Vol.
$18,653 Vol.
2026/10/04
リカルド・フェラッソ
91%
ロレンゾ・パゾリーニ
7%
アルナルジーニョ・ボルゴ
1%
セルジオ・ヴィジガル
1%
エウクレリオ・サンパイオ
<1%
リカルド・フェラッソ 91%
ロレンゾ・パゾリーニ 7%
アルナルジーニョ・ボルゴ <1%
セルジオ・ヴィジガル <1%
$18,653 Vol.
$18,653 Vol.
2026/10/04
リカルド・フェラッソ
$9,511 Vol.
91%
ロレンゾ・パゾリーニ
$5,070 Vol.
7%
アルナルジーニョ・ボルゴ
$2,187 Vol.
1%
セルジオ・ヴィジガル
$912 Vol.
1%
エウクレリオ・サンパイオ
$974 Vol.
<1%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço holds a commanding 91% implied probability in the Espírito Santo governor race as the incumbent who assumed office in April 2026 following the prior governor’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat. Recent polling from Brazilian firms shows Ferraço leading first-round scenarios with support in the mid-30s percent range, backed by MDB alliances and state-level visibility as the sitting executive. This positioning reflects trader consensus on incumbency advantages and momentum from summer surveys that reversed earlier 2025 indications favoring challengers. Lorenzo Pazolini and other contenders trail significantly on the platform, though late consolidation among opposition figures or shifts in voter turnout ahead of the October vote could still alter outcomes in a multi-candidate field.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
音量
$18,653終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço holds a commanding 91% implied probability in the Espírito Santo governor race as the incumbent who assumed office in April 2026 following the prior governor’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat. Recent polling from Brazilian firms shows Ferraço leading first-round scenarios with support in the mid-30s percent range, backed by MDB alliances and state-level visibility as the sitting executive. This positioning reflects trader consensus on incumbency advantages and momentum from summer surveys that reversed earlier 2025 indications favoring challengers. Lorenzo Pazolini and other contenders trail significantly on the platform, though late consolidation among opposition figures or shifts in voter turnout ahead of the October vote could still alter outcomes in a multi-candidate field.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$18,653終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço holds a commanding 91% implied probability in the Espírito Santo governor race as the incumbent who assumed office in April 2026 following the prior governor’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat. Recent polling from Brazilian firms shows Ferraço leading first-round scenarios with support in the mid-30s percent range, backed by MDB alliances and state-level visibility as the sitting executive. This positioning reflects trader consensus on incumbency advantages and momentum from summer surveys that reversed earlier 2025 indications favoring challengers. Lorenzo Pazolini and other contenders trail significantly on the platform, though late consolidation among opposition figures or shifts in voter turnout ahead of the October vote could still alter outcomes in a multi-candidate field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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