Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) holds a clear lead for first place in the October 4, 2026 Goiás Senate contest, leaving a fragmented fight for second among a crowded field. Recent Quaest polling showed Caiado at 20% with Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), and Gustavo Gayer (PL) clustered between 9-10%, amid 31% undecideds. Alternative surveys place Gayer ahead of Cardoso in the battle for the remaining seat. Traders assign Gayer the highest probability at 52.5% for second, reflecting his PL base and modest polling momentum, while Cardoso, Mendanha, and others trail due to split opposition votes and lower name recognition. High undecideds and shifting coalitions keep the second-place outcome fluid until late-campaign consolidation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日グスタヴォ・ガイエル 53%
グラシーニャ・カイアード 20%
グスタヴォ・メンダーニャ 14%
イウレ・カストロ 5.0%
$18,702 Vol.
$18,702 Vol.
2026/10/04
グスタヴォ・ガイエル
53%
グラシーニャ・カイアード
20%
グスタヴォ・メンダーニャ
14%
イウレ・カストロ
5%
ヴァンデルラン・カルドーゾ
5%
シンチア・ディアス
4%
エルネスト・ローラー
2%
ザカリアス・カリル博士
2%
ギリェルメ・ダルケス
1%
オゼイアス・ヴァラオン
<1%
イザウラ・レモス
<1%
グスタヴォ・ガイエル 53%
グラシーニャ・カイアード 20%
グスタヴォ・メンダーニャ 14%
イウレ・カストロ 5.0%
$18,702 Vol.
$18,702 Vol.
2026/10/04
グスタヴォ・ガイエル
$15,997 Vol.
53%
グラシーニャ・カイアード
$1,163 Vol.
20%
グスタヴォ・メンダーニャ
$228 Vol.
14%
イウレ・カストロ
$158 Vol.
5%
ヴァンデルラン・カルドーゾ
$176 Vol.
5%
シンチア・ディアス
$219 Vol.
4%
エルネスト・ローラー
$158 Vol.
2%
ザカリアス・カリル博士
$158 Vol.
2%
ギリェルメ・ダルケス
$141 Vol.
1%
オゼイアス・ヴァラオン
$155 Vol.
<1%
イザウラ・レモス
$146 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) holds a clear lead for first place in the October 4, 2026 Goiás Senate contest, leaving a fragmented fight for second among a crowded field. Recent Quaest polling showed Caiado at 20% with Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), and Gustavo Gayer (PL) clustered between 9-10%, amid 31% undecideds. Alternative surveys place Gayer ahead of Cardoso in the battle for the remaining seat. Traders assign Gayer the highest probability at 52.5% for second, reflecting his PL base and modest polling momentum, while Cardoso, Mendanha, and others trail due to split opposition votes and lower name recognition. High undecideds and shifting coalitions keep the second-place outcome fluid until late-campaign consolidation.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET
音量
$18,702終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) holds a clear lead for first place in the October 4, 2026 Goiás Senate contest, leaving a fragmented fight for second among a crowded field. Recent Quaest polling showed Caiado at 20% with Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), and Gustavo Gayer (PL) clustered between 9-10%, amid 31% undecideds. Alternative surveys place Gayer ahead of Cardoso in the battle for the remaining seat. Traders assign Gayer the highest probability at 52.5% for second, reflecting his PL base and modest polling momentum, while Cardoso, Mendanha, and others trail due to split opposition votes and lower name recognition. High undecideds and shifting coalitions keep the second-place outcome fluid until late-campaign consolidation.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$18,702終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) holds a clear lead for first place in the October 4, 2026 Goiás Senate contest, leaving a fragmented fight for second among a crowded field. Recent Quaest polling showed Caiado at 20% with Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), and Gustavo Gayer (PL) clustered between 9-10%, amid 31% undecideds. Alternative surveys place Gayer ahead of Cardoso in the battle for the remaining seat. Traders assign Gayer the highest probability at 52.5% for second, reflecting his PL base and modest polling momentum, while Cardoso, Mendanha, and others trail due to split opposition votes and lower name recognition. High undecideds and shifting coalitions keep the second-place outcome fluid until late-campaign consolidation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問