The Sergipe Senate race for the second seat remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026 vote, with traders assigning Rogerio Carvalho the highest probability for second place amid fragmented support across multiple contenders. Recent August 2026 polls, including Real Time Big Data, show a tight distribution with Delegado André David, André Moura, Eduardo Amorim, and Rodrigo Valadares clustered in the low-to-mid teens, while incumbent Rogério Carvalho trails in some surveys despite his PT base. Eleven registered candidates, cross-party alliances, and the two-vote system sustain uncertainty, as small shifts in turnout or late endorsements could reorder the ranking. Scheduled conventions and ongoing polling trends through September will likely influence separation before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ロジェリオ・カルヴァーリョ 24%
アンドレ・モウラ 15%
デレガード・アレッサンドロ 14.1%
エドゥアルド・アモリム 11%
$14,523 Vol.
$14,523 Vol.
2026/10/04
ロジェリオ・カルヴァーリョ
24%
アンドレ・モウラ
15%
デレガード・アレッサンドロ
14%
エドゥアルド・アモリム
11%
デレガード・アンドレ・ダヴィ
10%
ロドリゴ・ヴァラダレス
6%
レナチーニャ
1%
コロネル・ロシャ
1%
エジバウド
1%
パウリーニョ・ダ・ウニアオ・トゥール
1%
イラン・バルボーザ
<1%
ロジェリオ・カルヴァーリョ 24%
アンドレ・モウラ 15%
デレガード・アレッサンドロ 14.1%
エドゥアルド・アモリム 11%
$14,523 Vol.
$14,523 Vol.
2026/10/04
ロジェリオ・カルヴァーリョ
$4,053 Vol.
24%
アンドレ・モウラ
$1,740 Vol.
15%
デレガード・アレッサンドロ
$1,225 Vol.
14%
エドゥアルド・アモリム
$1,158 Vol.
11%
デレガード・アンドレ・ダヴィ
$1,490 Vol.
10%
ロドリゴ・ヴァラダレス
$986 Vol.
6%
レナチーニャ
$1,053 Vol.
1%
コロネル・ロシャ
$536 Vol.
1%
エジバウド
$407 Vol.
1%
パウリーニョ・ダ・ウニアオ・トゥール
$685 Vol.
1%
イラン・バルボーザ
$1,190 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Sergipe Senate race for the second seat remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026 vote, with traders assigning Rogerio Carvalho the highest probability for second place amid fragmented support across multiple contenders. Recent August 2026 polls, including Real Time Big Data, show a tight distribution with Delegado André David, André Moura, Eduardo Amorim, and Rodrigo Valadares clustered in the low-to-mid teens, while incumbent Rogério Carvalho trails in some surveys despite his PT base. Eleven registered candidates, cross-party alliances, and the two-vote system sustain uncertainty, as small shifts in turnout or late endorsements could reorder the ranking. Scheduled conventions and ongoing polling trends through September will likely influence separation before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
音量
$14,523終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Sergipe Senate race for the second seat remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026 vote, with traders assigning Rogerio Carvalho the highest probability for second place amid fragmented support across multiple contenders. Recent August 2026 polls, including Real Time Big Data, show a tight distribution with Delegado André David, André Moura, Eduardo Amorim, and Rodrigo Valadares clustered in the low-to-mid teens, while incumbent Rogério Carvalho trails in some surveys despite his PT base. Eleven registered candidates, cross-party alliances, and the two-vote system sustain uncertainty, as small shifts in turnout or late endorsements could reorder the ranking. Scheduled conventions and ongoing polling trends through September will likely influence separation before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$14,523終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe Senate race for the second seat remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026 vote, with traders assigning Rogerio Carvalho the highest probability for second place amid fragmented support across multiple contenders. Recent August 2026 polls, including Real Time Big Data, show a tight distribution with Delegado André David, André Moura, Eduardo Amorim, and Rodrigo Valadares clustered in the low-to-mid teens, while incumbent Rogério Carvalho trails in some surveys despite his PT base. Eleven registered candidates, cross-party alliances, and the two-vote system sustain uncertainty, as small shifts in turnout or late endorsements could reorder the ranking. Scheduled conventions and ongoing polling trends through September will likely influence separation before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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