Eduardo Braide (PSD) leads trader pricing in the Maranhão gubernatorial race at 60.5% implied probability, driven by his established name recognition from two terms as São Luís mayor, PSD party infrastructure, and leads in most recent polls ahead of the October 4 first round. Orleans Brandão (MDB) trails at 38%, drawing support from state government networks tied to his uncle, the incumbent governor, yet faces a competitive but fragmented field including lower-polling contenders such as Felipe Camarão (PT). Divergent polling results across institutes highlight ongoing uncertainty about voter preferences in a potential runoff scenario, with Braide's structural advantages in the capital region shaping current market consensus on first-round positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エドゥアルド・ブライデ 61%
オルレアンス・ブランダン 38%
フェリペ・カマラオン <1%
アンドレ・ルイス <1%
$59,099 Vol.
$59,099 Vol.

エドゥアルド・ブライデ
61%

オルレアンス・ブランダン
38%

フェリペ・カマラオン
<1%

アンドレ・ルイス
<1%

ラヘジオ・ボンフィム
<1%

エニルトン・ロドリゲス
<1%
エドゥアルド・ブライデ 61%
オルレアンス・ブランダン 38%
フェリペ・カマラオン <1%
アンドレ・ルイス <1%
$59,099 Vol.
$59,099 Vol.

エドゥアルド・ブライデ
61%

オルレアンス・ブランダン
38%

フェリペ・カマラオン
<1%

アンドレ・ルイス
<1%

ラヘジオ・ボンフィム
<1%

エニルトン・ロドリゲス
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日: Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Braide (PSD) leads trader pricing in the Maranhão gubernatorial race at 60.5% implied probability, driven by his established name recognition from two terms as São Luís mayor, PSD party infrastructure, and leads in most recent polls ahead of the October 4 first round. Orleans Brandão (MDB) trails at 38%, drawing support from state government networks tied to his uncle, the incumbent governor, yet faces a competitive but fragmented field including lower-polling contenders such as Felipe Camarão (PT). Divergent polling results across institutes highlight ongoing uncertainty about voter preferences in a potential runoff scenario, with Braide's structural advantages in the capital region shaping current market consensus on first-round positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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