Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads trader consensus at 79.5% as leader of the opposition Partido Popular, which maintains a consistent polling edge over the PSOE heading into Spain’s next general election due no later than August 2027. Recent developments have weighed on incumbent Pedro Sánchez, priced at 9.6%, including ongoing corruption investigations linked to party figures, coalition strains after losses of parliamentary support, and public pressure from the Ceuta migration surge. Isabel Díaz Ayuso and Santiago Abascal trail further at 4.5% and 3.9%, reflecting limited paths for alternative PP or Vox leadership scenarios. Market pricing aligns with polling aggregates showing PP-Vox combinations approaching or exceeding majorities, while Sánchez’s prospects hinge on rebuilding alliances amid legislative gridlock and voter fatigue. Resolution depends on the individual who formally assumes the premiership by the March 2028 deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Alberto Núñez Feijóo 80%
Pedro Sánchez 9.6%
イサベル・ディアス・アユソ 4.5%
Santiago Abascal 4.0%
$121,787 Vol.
$121,787 Vol.
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
80%
Pedro Sánchez
10%
イサベル・ディアス・アユソ
5%
Santiago Abascal
4%
オスカル・プエンテ
<1%
カルロス・クエルポ
<1%
Miguel Tellado
<1%
Aitor Esteban
<1%
Ester Muñoz
<1%
María Jesús Montero
<1%
Cuca Gamarra
<1%
Carles Puigdemont
<1%
Yolanda Díaz
<1%
Ernest Urtasun
<1%
Pepa Millán
<1%
Borja Sémper
<1%
Alberto Núñez Feijóo 80%
Pedro Sánchez 9.6%
イサベル・ディアス・アユソ 4.5%
Santiago Abascal 4.0%
$121,787 Vol.
$121,787 Vol.
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
80%
Pedro Sánchez
10%
イサベル・ディアス・アユソ
5%
Santiago Abascal
4%
オスカル・プエンテ
<1%
カルロス・クエルポ
<1%
Miguel Tellado
<1%
Aitor Esteban
<1%
Ester Muñoz
<1%
María Jesús Montero
<1%
Cuca Gamarra
<1%
Carles Puigdemont
<1%
Yolanda Díaz
<1%
Ernest Urtasun
<1%
Pepa Millán
<1%
Borja Sémper
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads trader consensus at 79.5% as leader of the opposition Partido Popular, which maintains a consistent polling edge over the PSOE heading into Spain’s next general election due no later than August 2027. Recent developments have weighed on incumbent Pedro Sánchez, priced at 9.6%, including ongoing corruption investigations linked to party figures, coalition strains after losses of parliamentary support, and public pressure from the Ceuta migration surge. Isabel Díaz Ayuso and Santiago Abascal trail further at 4.5% and 3.9%, reflecting limited paths for alternative PP or Vox leadership scenarios. Market pricing aligns with polling aggregates showing PP-Vox combinations approaching or exceeding majorities, while Sánchez’s prospects hinge on rebuilding alliances amid legislative gridlock and voter fatigue. Resolution depends on the individual who formally assumes the premiership by the March 2028 deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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