Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows Shas consistently projected around seven seats, reflecting pressure on its traditional Sephardi ultra-Orthodox base from the ongoing Haredi draft debate and competition from Otzma Yehudit and Likud. Internal party efforts, including Aryeh Deri's reconciliation with key rabbis and campaign messaging on military service, have not yet stabilized support amid broader bloc volatility. Traders see multiple seat ranges as plausible because small shifts in Haredi turnout, Religious Zionist alliances, or last-minute voter movement could push results into lower or higher brackets, leaving the leading outcomes closely matched without a clear frontrunner.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6〜7 42%
12以上 41%
6未満 38%
8～9 38%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
6未満
38%
6〜7
42%
8～9
38%
10〜11
38%
12以上
41%
6〜7 42%
12以上 41%
6未満 38%
8～9 38%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
6未満
$0 Vol.
38%
6〜7
$0 Vol.
42%
8～9
$0 Vol.
38%
10〜11
$0 Vol.
38%
12以上
$0 Vol.
41%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows Shas consistently projected around seven seats, reflecting pressure on its traditional Sephardi ultra-Orthodox base from the ongoing Haredi draft debate and competition from Otzma Yehudit and Likud. Internal party efforts, including Aryeh Deri's reconciliation with key rabbis and campaign messaging on military service, have not yet stabilized support amid broader bloc volatility. Traders see multiple seat ranges as plausible because small shifts in Haredi turnout, Religious Zionist alliances, or last-minute voter movement could push results into lower or higher brackets, leaving the leading outcomes closely matched without a clear frontrunner.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows Shas consistently projected around seven seats, reflecting pressure on its traditional Sephardi ultra-Orthodox base from the ongoing Haredi draft debate and competition from Otzma Yehudit and Likud. Internal party efforts, including Aryeh Deri's reconciliation with key rabbis and campaign messaging on military service, have not yet stabilized support amid broader bloc volatility. Traders see multiple seat ranges as plausible because small shifts in Haredi turnout, Religious Zionist alliances, or last-minute voter movement could push results into lower or higher brackets, leaving the leading outcomes closely matched without a clear frontrunner.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows Shas consistently projected around seven seats, reflecting pressure on its traditional Sephardi ultra-Orthodox base from the ongoing Haredi draft debate and competition from Otzma Yehudit and Likud. Internal party efforts, including Aryeh Deri's reconciliation with key rabbis and campaign messaging on military service, have not yet stabilized support amid broader bloc volatility. Traders see multiple seat ranges as plausible because small shifts in Haredi turnout, Religious Zionist alliances, or last-minute voter movement could push results into lower or higher brackets, leaving the leading outcomes closely matched without a clear frontrunner.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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