Recent polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election show the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) projected at 6–9 seats, with Ra'am running separately at around 5. The even distribution across seat brackets reflects uncertainty over Arab voter turnout, the alliance's final candidate list due by September 9, and competition for the same electorate amid bloc deadlock between Netanyahu-aligned parties and the Zionist opposition, both hovering near 53 seats. Arab parties overall hold the balance with 12–14 seats in surveys, yet neither major bloc has pursued them for coalition purposes. Late campaign developments, including mobilization efforts, threshold risks, or shifts in broader turnout, could alter the outcome before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6~7 26%
10〜11 26%
12以上 26%
6未満 24%
6未満
24%
6~7
26%
8~9
22%
10〜11
26%
12以上
26%
6~7 26%
10〜11 26%
12以上 26%
6未満 24%
6未満
24%
6~7
26%
8~9
22%
10〜11
26%
12以上
26%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
マーケット開始日: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election show the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) projected at 6–9 seats, with Ra'am running separately at around 5. The even distribution across seat brackets reflects uncertainty over Arab voter turnout, the alliance's final candidate list due by September 9, and competition for the same electorate amid bloc deadlock between Netanyahu-aligned parties and the Zionist opposition, both hovering near 53 seats. Arab parties overall hold the balance with 12–14 seats in surveys, yet neither major bloc has pursued them for coalition purposes. Late campaign developments, including mobilization efforts, threshold risks, or shifts in broader turnout, could alter the outcome before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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