Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow band of roughly 22-31 seats, with late-July and early-August surveys fluctuating between 21-33 amid direct competition from Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party. The August 17 party primaries produced a new slate topped by Eli Cohen but drew only 53.5% turnout, reflecting internal strains. Ongoing security conditions, coalition pressures over Haredi conscription, and opposition bloc dynamics have kept projected outcomes clustered around 20-29 seats. A sustained shift in voter support for centrist or right-wing challengers, major developments in Gaza-related diplomacy, or changes in turnout patterns among key blocs could widen the gap in either direction before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日20-24 33%
25-29 29%
<20 18.0%
30-34 18%
$102,395 Vol.
$102,395 Vol.
2026/10/26
<20
18%
20-24
33%
25-29
29%
30-34
18%
35+
6%
20-24 33%
25-29 29%
<20 18.0%
30-34 18%
$102,395 Vol.
$102,395 Vol.
2026/10/26
<20
$33,123 Vol.
18%
20-24
$15,595 Vol.
33%
25-29
$24,708 Vol.
29%
30-34
$19,721 Vol.
18%
35+
$9,249 Vol.
6%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow band of roughly 22-31 seats, with late-July and early-August surveys fluctuating between 21-33 amid direct competition from Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party. The August 17 party primaries produced a new slate topped by Eli Cohen but drew only 53.5% turnout, reflecting internal strains. Ongoing security conditions, coalition pressures over Haredi conscription, and opposition bloc dynamics have kept projected outcomes clustered around 20-29 seats. A sustained shift in voter support for centrist or right-wing challengers, major developments in Gaza-related diplomacy, or changes in turnout patterns among key blocs could widen the gap in either direction before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
マーケット開始日： Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
音量
$102,395終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow band of roughly 22-31 seats, with late-July and early-August surveys fluctuating between 21-33 amid direct competition from Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party. The August 17 party primaries produced a new slate topped by Eli Cohen but drew only 53.5% turnout, reflecting internal strains. Ongoing security conditions, coalition pressures over Haredi conscription, and opposition bloc dynamics have kept projected outcomes clustered around 20-29 seats. A sustained shift in voter support for centrist or right-wing challengers, major developments in Gaza-related diplomacy, or changes in turnout patterns among key blocs could widen the gap in either direction before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
音量
$102,395終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow band of roughly 22-31 seats, with late-July and early-August surveys fluctuating between 21-33 amid direct competition from Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party. The August 17 party primaries produced a new slate topped by Eli Cohen but drew only 53.5% turnout, reflecting internal strains. Ongoing security conditions, coalition pressures over Haredi conscription, and opposition bloc dynamics have kept projected outcomes clustered around 20-29 seats. A sustained shift in voter support for centrist or right-wing challengers, major developments in Gaza-related diplomacy, or changes in turnout patterns among key blocs could widen the gap in either direction before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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